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Folie 1 Detailed flow, hydrometeor and lightning characteristics of an isolated, hail producing thunderstorm during COPS Kersten Schmidt , Martin Hagen, Hartmut Höller, Hans Volkert Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, DLR Oberpfaffenhofen

Detailed flow, hydrometeor and lightning characteristics ... · ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 2 Results from previous studies of IOP 8b

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Folie 1

Detailed flow, hydrometeor and lightning characteristics of an isolated, hail

producing thunderstorm during COPS

Kersten Schmidt, Martin Hagen, Hartmut Höller, Hans Volkert

Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, DLR Oberpfaffenhofen

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 2ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 2

Results from previous studies of IOP 8b (15 July 2007)

Observation

• Kottmeier et al. 2008, MetZet• Aoshima et al. 2008, MetZet• Kalthoff et al. 2009, AR• Behrendt et al. 2011, QJRMS

Modelling

Barthlott et al. 2009, AR Kirshbaum et al. 2010, JAS Richard et al. 2011, QJRMS Barthlott et al. 2011, QJRMS

• General observation results with

special focus on convection initiation• Evaluation of triggering mechanism

(radar convergence line)• Evaluation of moist condition

• no deep convection by using COSMO-DE

but triggering of convection matches well• Intercomparison of different model results• Comparison with observed moisture,

changing of Meso-NH-model parameters

current step: evaluation of mature state and dissipation

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 3ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 3

Approach: Synergy of sensors

Multiple-Doppler radar analysis of 15 July 2007,

additional validation with photos, lightning and MSG data

Development of cloud-top height evaluated from radar

and MSG data

Analysis of microphysics of clouds by using polarimetric

radar data

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 4ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 4

Initiation: Horizontal development

parallax corrected positions of BT10.7µm

≤ 5°C Radar sites

multiple-Doppler area~ 80 km

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 5ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 5

Life cycle and vertical development

Initiation

Mature state

Decay

Tropopause

discrepancy between radar cloud height and

MSG related cloud height (ice shield)

lapse rate:

0.6 K per 100 m

3 km at 5 min

-> vertical motion

~ 10 m/s

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 6ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 6

Life cycle and vertical development

Tropopause

reference time steps for triple

Doppler calculation

lapse rate:

0.6 K per 100 m

3 km at 5 min

-> vertical motion

~ 10 m/s

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 7ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 7

radar volume scan time intervals

Feldberg radar Türkheim radar Karlsruhe radarreference time for Multiple Doppler

calculation

14:30 – 14:37 14:30 – 14:37 14:30 – 14:34 14:35

14:45 – 14:52 14:45 – 14:52 14:50 – 14:54 14:50

15:00 – 15:07 15:00 – 15:07 15:00 – 15:04 15:05

15:15 – 15:22 15:15 – 15:22 15:20 – 15:24 15:20

POLDIRAD RHI scan Feldberg radar Türkheim radar Karlsruhe radar

reference time for Multiple Doppler

calculation

14:43 - 14:45 14:45 – 14:52 14:45 – 14:52 14:30 – 14:34 14:43

Validation case

Data

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 8ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 8

Multiple Doppler calculation

● radar data interpolation by using REORDER (by NCAR)

● GRID distance in all 3 dimensions: 500m (tested: 300m, 1km)

● Cressman weighting scheme

● Determination of storm motion (best overlap of reflectivity)

● multiple doppler calculation by using CEDRIC (by NCAR)

● calculation horizontal wind components u,v

● smoothing of wind field

● calculation of vertical wind by using variation integration

procedure with boundary conditions

Method

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 9ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 9

Mid cloud flow structure at 5 km (msl) Result

km

km

• Contour of reflectivity (10 dbZ interval, starting from 10 dBZ)• Horizontal wind vectors relative to the storm motion• updraft downdraft

inflow

outflow

in

out

con

ne

ct

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 10ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 10

Mean vertical velocity

Standard deviation of

vertical velocity

average of updrafts

(w>0)

average of downdrafts

(w<0)

Statistics: Vertical wind from triple Doppler

14:35 14:50

15:05 15:20

• Updraft higher than downdraft at the early phase (14:35)

• Dominating wind direction changes from updraft to downdraft:

decreasing of storm intensity

• Decreasing of absolute vertical wind speed indicate decay state

(15:20)

• Mean values and standard deviation

decreases at top and bottom (influence

of boundary condition)

• Low border limited to 1.7 km: radar

beam cannot reach the ground

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 11ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 11

first photo from serie:

timestamp: 14:43 UTC location: POLDIRAD

Validation

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 12ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 12

add scale: elevation, azimuth

Validation

ele

vatio

n [

°]

azimuth [°]

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 13ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 13

verify: Black Forest silhouette from SRTM topography data

Validation

ele

vatio

n [

°]

azimuth [°]

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 14ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 14

add all lightning locations (cloud and ground stokes) 14:34 – 14:45 UTC photo time: 14:43 UTC

Validation

ele

vatio

n [

°]

azimuth [°]

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 15ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 15

Reflectivity composit from triple-Doppler analysis

at 14:35 UTC (7 minutes before the photo was taken)

Validation

ele

vatio

n [

°]

azimuth [°]

0 dBZ

10 dBZ

20 dBZ 30 dBZ

40 dBZ

motiondirection

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 16ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 16

maximum updraft in line of sight from multiple-Doppler analysis

Validation

ele

vatio

n [

°]

azimuth [°]

2 m/s

7 m/s

12 m/s

2 m/s

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 17ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 17

maximum downdraft in line of sight from multiple-Doppler analysis

Validation

ele

vatio

n [

°]

azimuth [°]

-3 m/s

-3 m/s

-3 m/s

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 18ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 18

Consistency check for triple Doppler results

measured radial velocity from each

radar site

derived radial component corresponding to radar site

from 3D triple Doppler calculation

Higher dynamics (e.g. more turbulence)

in the early Mature state?

rms v3D = 1n ∑ v r Measured

i− v r 3D

i

2

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

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14:43 – 14:45 UTC

Scan position of POLDIRAD RHI scans

ele

vatio

n [

°]

azimuth [°]

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 20ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 20

Quality check by using POLDIRAD

main part of discrepancy corresponds with

occurrences of turbulence

denoted by low ρHV

and high spectral width

retrieved vr

5 m/s higher than measured

correlation coefficient

retrieved vr

5 m/s lower than measured

Measured and retrieved radial velocities v

r

low ρHV

: high particle variation in type, shape and orientation

high σ: broad range of radial velocity values

lightning

σ

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 21ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 21

Estimation of hydro-meteors by only using of

ZDR and LDR after Höller et al. 1994

Estimation of hydrometeor content

Comparison:

Estimation of hail signal (HDR) by using ZDR and Z

after Aydin et al. 1986

mixing zone (water, ice)

evidence of hail below melting zone:

• HDR (Z+ZDR)

• classification (LDR+ZDR)

• hail spike at reflectivity

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 22ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 22

Temporal evolution of hydrometeor content

• counting of radar range bins for each hydrometeor type per altitude level (1km)

• normalizing by dividing through total count

• summarizing 5 RHI scans per time interval

14:43 14:53 15:03 15:13

• fraction of hail is negligible

• Early phase dominated by ice particles (snow, graupel)

• Mean altitude level of ice particles decreases with time, but ice shield seen at photos and MSG data not detected by radar

method results

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

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Contours: Triple-radar derived cloud-top heights ( 8km, 12km, 13km )

Points: Parallax corrected cloud-top positions (MSG IR-channel) with color coded BT

Cloud-top height

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

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Cloud-top height

Discrepancy of cloud-top location during the dissipation state

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

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Triple-Doppler results

horizontal wind

Maximum reflectivity in line of sight

Radar cross section reflectivity

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

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• Documentation of full life cycle by using

– radar data (inclusive multiple Doppler approach)

– MSG and lightning data

• Most active phase between 14:35 and 14:45

– cloud extended to tropopause

– raised updraft, high cloud dynamic (turbulence), lightning, hail

• Temporal evolution of hydrometeor profiles (consistent with simulations?)

• Discrepancy between radar and satellite & photo due to small ice particles

• Future work: comparison with model results

Conclusion

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 27ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 27

Spatial resolution: 500 m

altitude level: 5 km

Outlook: MesoNH-model results from E. Richard48.6

48.4

48.3

48.2

48.18.33 8.44 8.54 8.64 8.75 8.44 8.54 8.64 8.75 8.44 8.54 8.64 8.75 8.44 8.54 8.64 8.75

10

7.5

5.0

2.5

-2.5

-5.0

-7.5

-10

w [m/s]

Small spatial (or temporal) discrepancies between model and observation

Different role of southern cell

Same inflow and outflow characteristics

14:5014:35 15:05 15:20

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 28ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 28

Thank you for your attention!

Abteilungsseminar > Wolkenphysik mit dem Wolkenradar > Kersten Schmidt > 02.03.2010

Folie 29ICAM 2011, Aviemore, Scotland (UK), 23-27 May 2011 Kersten Schmidt Folie 29

Mean horizontal wind speed with standard deviation

Mean wind direction derived from mean u and v wind components

Statistics: Horizontal wind from triple Doppler

•wind shear decreases during life time•profiles of mean wind speed ~ constant•standard deviation of mean horizontal

wind correlated with cloud dynamics