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Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany Jahrestagung 2012 Öko-Institut e.V. Energiewende Gut vernetzt? Berlin, 13 th September 2012 Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand

Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand€¦ · Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany

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Page 1: Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand€¦ · Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany

Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT

2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1

Dr. Christian Doetsch

Fraunhofer UMSICHT

Germany

Jahrestagung 2012 – Öko-Institut e.V.

Energiewende – Gut vernetzt?

Berlin, 13th September 2012

Future Energy

Storage/Balancing Demand

Page 2: Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand€¦ · Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany

Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT

2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 2

Change of the electric energy system

Energy System

► change to renewable

energies

► much more fluctuations

► less base load power

plants

Challenges

► balancing the grid at

each time

► managing the temporary

surplus or lack of energy

Need of energy

balancing devices

Page 3: Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand€¦ · Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany

Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT

2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 3

© B

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– E

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erg

ies

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73

Growth in Demand for Wind and Solar PV Will Likely Be Strong Across All Major Regions Through 2025

Page 4: Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand€¦ · Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany

Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT

2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 4

Installed energy storage system vs. installed generation capacity

North America EuropeEastern Asia

26 1200

46 70025 875

Installed capacity [GW]

Storage Systems

Total

2 % 6 % 3 %

* Japan, China,

Korea, Taiwan

*

Page 5: Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand€¦ · Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany

Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT

2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 5

Worldwide installed storage capacity for electrical energy (2010)

Compressed Air Energy Storage

Sodium-Sulphur Battery

Lead-Acid Battery

Redox-Flow Battery

Nickel-Cadmium Battery

Pumped storage hydroelectricity

Compressed Air Energy Storage

Sodium-Sulphur Battery

Lead-Acid Battery

Redox-Flow Battery

Nickel-Cadmium Battery

Pumped storage hydroelectricity

Compressed Air Energy Storage

Sodium-Sulphur Battery

Lead-Acid Battery

Redox-Flow Battery

Nickel-Cadmium Battery

Pumped storage hydroelectricity

Compressed Air Energy Storage

Sodium-Sulphur Battery

Lead-Acid Battery

Redox-Flow Battery

Nickel-Cadmium Battery

Pumped storage hydroelectricity

CAES 477 MWel

NaS 302 MWel

LA 125 MWel

Redox 38 MWel

NiCd 26 MWel

Compressed Air Energy Storage

Sodium-Sulphur Battery

Lead-Acid Battery

Redox-Flow Battery

Nickel-Cadmium Battery

Pumped storage hydroelectricity

Compressed Air Energy Storage

Sodium-Sulphur Battery

Lead-Acid Battery

Redox-Flow Battery

Nickel-Cadmium Battery

Pumped storage hydroelectricity

Page 6: Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand€¦ · Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany

Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT

2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 6

over 99% of

total storage capacity

Worldwide installed storage capacity for electrical energy

Compressed Air Energy Storage

Sodium-Sulphur Battery

Lead-Acid Battery

Redox-Flow Battery

Nickel-Cadmium Battery

Pumped storage hydroelectricityPumped Hydro

110 000 MWel

Page 7: Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand€¦ · Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany

Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT

2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 7

Where (grid-level) could this systems be located ?

► central electric storages

- pumped hydro

- hydrogen generation

- compressed air energy storage

► decentralized huge batteries

- lead acid batteries

- NaS batteries

- Redox-Flow batteries

► local batteries

- lithium-ion batteries

- lead acid batteries

- NiMh-, NiCd batteries

► virtual storages

- HP + thermal storage

- µCHP + thermal storage

Page 8: Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand€¦ · Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany

Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT

2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 8

Basic technical framework

► there is always a real grid no ideal grid

- fluctuations are local (e.g. PV) or central (e.g. wind)

- demand fluctuations are local (household) or central (industry)

- storages, DSM etc. are always local or central options

► Germany was, is and will be no island

- grid connections to European neighbors

- embedded to the European grid

- important for 100% renewable energy scenario

Page 9: Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand€¦ · Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany

Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT

2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 9

Estimations for Grid Balancing Demand (Germany, Peak Load 90 GW)

Positive Ausgleichsleistung (Ausspeicherbedarf)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Jahr

Posi

tive A

usg

leic

hsl

eis

tung [G

W] Eigene Berechnung (oberes Limit)

Eigene Berechnung (unteres Limit)

Siemens

BCG: 'Compensating Capacity'

Negative Ausgleichsleistung (Einspeicherbedarf)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Jahr

Neg

ativ

e A

usgl

eich

slei

stun

g [G

W]

DENA

Eigene Berechnung (unteres Limit)

Eigene Berechnung (oberes Limit)

Storage Grid

Storage Grid

Positive grid balancing demand (discharging power) [GW]

Negative grid balancing demand (charging power) [GW]

Internal estimations (upper limit) (2008)

Internal estimations (lower limit) (2008)

Siemens (2010)

BCG „Compensating Capacity (2010)

VDE Study Energy Storage (2012)

DENA study

Internal estimations (upper limit)

Internal estimations (lower limit)“

VDE Study Energy Storage 2012

Page 10: Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand€¦ · Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany

Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT

2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 10

Grid Balancing Demand: Power [GW] vs. Stored Energy [GWh/a]

Positive Ausgleichsleistung (Ausspeicherbedarf)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Jahr

Posi

tive A

usg

leic

hsl

eis

tung [G

W] Eigene Berechnung (oberes Limit)

Eigene Berechnung (unteres Limit)

Siemens

BCG: 'Compensating Capacity'

Negative Ausgleichsleistung (Einspeicherbedarf)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Jahr

Neg

ativ

e A

usgl

eich

slei

stun

g [G

W]

DENA

Eigene Berechnung (unteres Limit)

Eigene Berechnung (oberes Limit)

Example:

Grid Balancing

Demand 2050

positive:

approx. 40 GW

negative:

approx. 40 GW

Storage Grid

Storage Grid

Positive grid balancing demand (discharging power) [GW]

Negative grid balancing demand (charging power) [GW]

Internal estimations (upper limit) (2008)

Internal estimations (lower limit) (2008)

Siemens (2010)

BCG „Compensating Capacity (2010)

VDE Study Energy Storage (2012)

DENA study

Internal estimations (upper limit)

Internal estimations (lower limit)“

VDE Study Energy Storage 2012

Page 11: Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand€¦ · Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany

Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT

2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 11

2050 - Additional need of negative storage (annual duration curve)

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000

Time in hours

Po

we

r [G

W]

Maximum storage, assumption: no export by interconnectors allowed

Maximum storage, assumption: maximal export by interconnectors possible

2050 - Additional need of positive storage (annual duration curve)

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000

Time in hours

Po

we

r [G

W]

Maximum storage, assumption: no import by interconnectors allowed

Minimum storage, assumption:maximal import by interconnectors possible

10 TWh

2 TWh

132 TWh 27 TWh

Grid

Bala

ncin

g D

em

an

d A

naly

sis

: P

ow

er v

s.

Yearly

Sto

red

En

erg

y

Storage Grid

Storage Grid

2050 - additional „discharging“ power (annual duration curve)

2050 - additional „charging“ power (annual duration curve)

Page 12: Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand€¦ · Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany

Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT

2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 12

2050 - Additional need of negative storage (annual duration curve)

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000

Time in hours

Po

we

r [G

W]

Maximum storage, assumption: no export by interconnectors allowed

Maximum storage, assumption: maximal export by interconnectors possible

2050 - Additional need of positive storage (annual duration curve)

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000

Time in hours

Po

we

r [G

W]

Maximum storage, assumption: no import by interconnectors allowed

Minimum storage, assumption:maximal import by interconnectors possible

10 TWh

2 TWh

132 TWh 27 TWh

Example:

Grid

Balancing

Demand

2050

Discharging

:

2-10 TWh

Charging:

27-132 TWh

Grid

Bala

ncin

g D

em

an

d A

naly

sis

: P

ow

er v

s.

Yearly

Sto

red

En

erg

y

Storage Grid

Storage Grid

Page 13: Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand€¦ · Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany

Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT

2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 13

Measurements for “Grid-Balancing”

Energy Storage

Demand side

management

Additional load

(e.g. hydrogen)

Ex-/Import – grid

enhancement

Generation

curtailment

Virtual power

plant

?

Page 14: Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand€¦ · Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany

Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT

2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 14

Measurements for “Grid-Balancing”

Energy Storage

Demand side

management

Additional load

(e.g. hydrogen)

Ex-/Import – grid

enhancement

Generation

curtailment

Virtual power

plant

?

Page 15: Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand€¦ · Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany

Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT

2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 15

Vision » hybrid urban energy storage «

Realization of high shares of renewable energies by a smart combination of different storages:

Few huge centralized storages, some big decentralized storages and many small decentralized

storages and virtual storages (incl. thermal storages) mostly located in the city.

www.hybrider-stadtspeicher.de

Page 16: Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand€¦ · Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany

Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT

2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 17

Conclusions ► energy balancing demand will increase due to

higher penetration of fluctuating renewable energies

► different storage technologies will be located at different

points of the grid and will solve different problems

► Germany has a good but no ideal grid (restrictions)

but is embedded in the European grid

► energy balancing demand ≠ energy storage demand

► many different measurements for grid balancing,

virtual (e.g. DSM) and real storages must be

aggregated and operated in a coordinated way

► economical regulations must support these

operations modes

Page 17: Future Energy Storage/Balancing Demand€¦ · Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT 2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 1 Dr. Christian Doetsch Fraunhofer UMSICHT Germany

Dr. Christian Doetsch, Fraunhofer UMSICHT

2012-Sep-13 Berlin, Jahrestagung 2012, Chart 18

….besuchen Sie uns auf der Hannovermesse 2010

Halle 13, Stand D???

Dr. Christian Doetsch

Tel.: +49 208 8598 1195

[email protected]

www.hybrider-stadtspeicher.de