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Dr. R. Schiffer Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015 Geothermal market Turkey Potential, status and market developments Dr. Rolf Schiffer Schiffer Consult - GEO · Services Marl, Germany www.schiffer-consult.de Status as of September 30 th 2015

Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · [email protected] Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch [email protected] . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

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Page 1: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Geothermal market Turkey Potential, status and market developments

Dr. Rolf Schiffer

Schiffer Consult - GEO · Services

Marl, Germany

www.schiffer-consult.de

Status as of September 30th 2015

Page 2: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Overview

Content

Brief company presentation

Geothermal potential of Turkey

Development and projections of geothermal electricity (power) production in Turkey

Thermal applications – status and possibilities (for development)

Outlook and forecast

Conclusion

Page 3: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Brief company presentation

Page 4: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

International geoscientific and technical (interdisciplinary) consulting

in geology, renewables, infrastructure, resources, hydrogeology,

environment, conversion management, health and safety

Project and management consultancy

Studies, assessments / due diligence

Project and business development

Marketing

Agency services

Customer relationship management and communication

Services

Schiffer Consult - GEO · Services

Page 5: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Our services in geothermal energy

Schiffer Consult

GEO

Geology

BNE

GEO-ConsEnS

GPG Studies

Agency Services

Market-ing

Consult-ing

Energy- mix

Geo-thermal

Services

Page 6: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Geothermal potential of Turkey

Picture: SC · SGS, SCHIFFER, R.

Page 7: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Geothermal resource of Europe

100 °C

120 °C 150 °C

200 °C

Source:

Geothermal map

of Europe

Page 8: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Turkey’s geothermal energy potential

Source: KORKMAZ E. D., SERPEN U.,

SATMAN E. (2010): Turkey geothermal

energy potential, Istanbul Technical

University

Temperatures in [ oC ]

Page 9: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

227 geothermal fields in use and developement

2,000 hot and mineral water resources (Temperature range 20 °C to 287 °C)

Drilled: ~ 1,200 geothermal exploratory, production and reinjection wells

Geothermal heat capacity potential estimated 2015: 60,000 MWth (2010: 31,500 MWth)

Installed geothermal heat capacity ~ 2,880 MWth in direct use incl. heat pumps

Installed geothermal power production ~ 500 MWel (09/2015)

Total geothermal technical and economical electricity potential: 2,000 MWel

(hydrothermal 0–3 km, next 15 – 20 years, incentive 0.105 US-$)

theoretical: 4,500 MWel

Estimated technical EGS electricity production potential 250,000 MWel (3-5 km)

Total EGS electricity production technical and economical potential 25,000 MWel

(estimated next 20 years)

Geothermal potential of Turkey (hydrothermal and petrothermal)

Page 10: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Development and projections of geothermal

electricity (power) production in Turkey

Picture: SC· SGS, SCHIFFER R. - GPP Germencik

Page 11: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Installed geothermal capacity worldwide 2014

Source: BERTANI R. (2015), Proceedings WGC 2015, Melbourne

Turkey (08-2015):

> 500 MW

Page 12: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Installed geothermal capacity worldwide 2014

Data Source: BERTANI R. (2015), Proceedings WGC 2015, Melbourne

Page 13: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Installed capacity by energy source

TÜRKİYE ELEKTRİK ENERJİSİ

KURULUŞ VE YAKIT CİNSLERİNE GÖRE KURULU GÜÇ

YAKIT CİNSLERİ

2014 YILI SONU 31 TEMMUZ 2015 SONU İTİBARİYLE

KURULU GÜÇ KATKI

SANTRAL

SAYISI KURULU GÜÇ KATKI

SANTRAL

SAYISI

MW % ADET MW % ADET

FUEL-OİL + ASFALTİT + NAFTA + MOTORİN 659,8 0,9 18 766,3 1,1 16

TAŞ KÖMÜRÜ + LİNYİT 8.573,4 12,3 23 8.729,4 12,1 25

İTHAL KÖMÜR 6.062,6 8,7 8 6.064,2 8,4 8

DOĞALGAZ + LNG 21.476,1 30,9 230 21.575,7 30,0 236

YENİLEN. + ATIK + ATIKISI + PİROLİTİK YAĞ 288,1 0,4 58 315,8 0,4 64

ÇOK YAKITLILAR KATI + SIVI 667,8 1,0 9 657,8 0,9 7

ÇOK YAKITLILAR SIVI + DOĞALGAZ 4.074,0 5,9 42 4.015,1 5,6 39

JEOTERMAL 404,9 0,6 15 437,7 0,6 16

HİDROLİK BARAJLI 16.606,9 23,9 77 17.967,9 25,0 87

HİDROLİK AKARSU 7.036,3 10,1 444 7.203,9 10,0 447

RÜZGAR 3.629,7 5,2 90 4.032,1 5,6 101

GÜNEŞ (LİSANSSIZ) 40,2 0,1 112 142,4 0,2 235

TOPLAM 69.519,8 100,0 1.126 71.908,3 100,0 1.281

Source: Turkish electricity transmisson company (2015)

Page 14: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Installed capacity (TEIAŞ)

Data Source: Turkish

electricity transmission

company (08/2015)

Renewable

Energy

Resources Law

2005

Renewable

Energy

Resources Law

update 2009

Page 15: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Map of geothermal energy sources and applications

Source:

MTA (2012) –

Enerji

Hammadde

Etüt ve Arama

Dairesi

Başkanlığı,

Report

Page 16: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Location of the main geothermal fields

Page 17: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Thermal applications – status and possibilities

(for development)

Pictures: topnews.in; formanfarms.ca; holydaycheck.de

Page 18: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Geothermal direct heat uses (2014)

Summary table of geothermal direct heat uses as of 31 December 2014

Use

Installed Capacity

[MW t]

Annual Energy Use

[TJ/yr]

Individual Space Heating 420 4635

District Heating 805 8885

Air Conditioning (Cooling) -* -*

Greenhouse Heating 612 11580

Fish Farming -* -*

Animal Farming -* -*

Agricultural Drying 1,5 50

Industrial Process Heat -* -*

Snow Melting -* -*

Bathing and Swimming 1005 19016

Other Uses (specify) -* -*

Subtotal 2843.5 44166

Geothermal Heat Pumps 42,8 960

TOTOAL 2886.3 45126

* - no data available

Source:

MERTOGLU, O.,

SIMSEK S.,

BASRIRN N.

(2015) Country

Update Report of

Turkey (2010-

2015)

Page 19: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Status in geothermal house heating systems in Turkey

Place Name

Number of Residential Equivalence (RE) heated

Geoth.water temp (°C)

Investor

İzmir – Balçova + Narlıdere

34100 125-145

Provincial and Municipal Administration Equal Weighted Joint Stock Company

Gönen 2500 80 Weighted Municipal Corporation

Simav 7500 167 Municipality

Kırşehir 1800 57 Special Provincial Administration of the Municipal Corporation Weighted

Kızılcahamam 2500 80 Weighted Municipal Corporation

Afyon 8000 95 Special Provincial Administration of the Municipal Corporation Weighted

Kozaklı 3000 90 Weighted Municipal Corporation

Sandıklı 6000 70 Weighted Municipal Corporation

Diyadin 690 70 Special Provincial Administration

Salihli 7292 94 Municipality

Sarayköy 2200 140 Weighted Municipal Corporation

Edremit 4881 60 Municipality+Private Sector Company

Bigadiç 1950 96 Municipality

Sarıkaya 550 (not operated) 50 Special Provincial Administration + Municipality + Private Sector

Yozgat-Sorgun 1500 (not operated) 80 Municipality

Yerköy 1500 (not operated) 55-60 Special Provincial Administration + Municipality + Private Sector

Güre 650 55 Municipality

İzmir – Dikili 2500 99 Municipality

İzmir – Bergama 450 60 Municipality

Source:

DAGISTAN H.

et al.(2015) -

Geothermal

Explorations

and

Investigations

by MTA in

Turkey

Page 20: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Outview and forecast

Picture: SC · SGS, ROITZSCH, T.

Page 21: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Geothermal Status (recent)

Data based

on TEIAŞ

(Turkish

electricity

transmission

company)

07/2015

added

09/2015

Page 22: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Turkish producer of geothermal electricity

Electricity producer Existing capacity [MW] Under construction [MW] Total [MW]

Güriş Holding 162,3 70,0 232,3

Zorlu Enerji 128,7 11,3 140,0

Maren Enerji 92,0 44,0 136,0

Çelikler Jeotermal 67,5 74,8 142,4

MB Holding 51,5 17,0 68,5

Türkerler Jeotermal 24,0 24,0 48,0

BM Holding 13,2 0 13,2

Enda Enerji holding 7,5 0 7,5

Bereket Jeotermal Enerji 6,85 0 6,9

Akça Enerji 3,8 10,0 13,8

greeneco Enerji 0 25,6 25,6

Karadeniz Holding 0 24,0 24,0

enerjeo 0 24,0 24,0

Sanko Enerji 0 15,0 15,0

Alres A.Ş. 0 10,0 10,0

GÖK Jeotermal 0 3,0 3,0

MTN Enerji 0 3,0 3,0

Jeoden Enerji 0 2,5 2,5

Sum 557,4 358,2 915,6

Data based on TEIAS

(Turkish electricity

transmission company)

07/2015, added 09/2015

Page 23: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Growth of total Investments in Geothermal

Period

Research &

Development

Field

Development

including

Production

Utilization Funding Type

Private Public Direct Electrical

Million US$ Million US$ Million US$ Million US$ % %

1995-

1999 2,2 100

2000-

2004 7,5 1,35 74 10 90

2005-

2009 350 68 212 500 70 30

2010-

2014 1250 750 300 2000 85 15

Source: MERTOGLU, O., SIMSEK S., BASRIRN N. (2015) Country Update Report of Turkey (2010-2015)

Page 24: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Geothermal projections for 2014 – 2018 of Turkey

(Acc. To the 10th development plan (2014 – 2018) of the Ministry of Development)

Geothermal Utilizations Government Targets for 2018

Additional

Investment USD

(until 2018)

Electricity Generation 750 MWel

(6 Billion kWh)

2.0 Billion USD

Heating

(Residences, Hotels, Thermal Facilities and others)

4,000 MW th

(500,000 Residences Equivalence)

1.4 Billion USD

Greenhouse Heating 2,040 MW th

(6 Billion m²)

300 Million USD

(including Wells)

Drying 500 MW th

(500.000 tons/year)

180 Million USD

Thermal Tourism 1,100 MW th

(400 Thermal Facility Equivalence)

1.2 Billion USD

Air conditioning 300 MW th

(50,000 Residences Equivalence)

300 Million USD

Aquaculture + others 400 MW th 150 Million USD

Total Direct Use 8,340 MWth 5.53 Billion USD

Natural Gas Equivalence of all the above mentioned

geothermal direct use Utilizations

6,1 Billion USD/year

The economical value added to the Turkey’s Economy

by means of above mentioned Utilizations until the End

of 2018

32 Billion USD/year

The created Employment (Direct and Indirect) 300,000 Person

Source:

Turkish

Geothermal

Association;

GEOPOWER

Turkey,

10-2013

Page 25: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Conclusion

Picture: SC · SGS, SCHIFFER. R.

Page 26: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Good conditions for the geothermal development in Turkey

High geothermal energy potential

One of the fastest growing geothermal markets worldwide

Possibilities for further development beside hydrothermal utilization

Support of the renewables by the Turkish government

Guaranteed feed-in tariff

High acceptance for geothermal projects

Local and international investments in geothermal energy

Conclusion

Page 27: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

For more information and

news about the Turkish

geothermal Market please

contact us or visit our

homepage:

www.schiffer-consult.de

More Information

Page 28: Geothermal market Turkey - schiffer-consult.de · dr.schiffer@schiffer-consult.de Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch t.roitzsch@schiffer-consult.de . Title: Geothermal market Turkey - Potential,

Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015

Contact

Schiffer Consult

Schiffer GEO ∙ Services (SGS)

Treibweg 1, 45772 Marl, Germany

Cell phone +49 160 - 715 08 79

Phone +49 23 65 - 50 70 47

Fax +49 23 65 - 20 54 97

[email protected]

www.schiffer-consult.de

Contact persons

Dr. Rolf Schiffer

[email protected]

Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch

[email protected]