Rheinland-PfalzHessenSchleswig-HolsteinBayernSachsenNordrhein-WestfalenSaarlandBremenHamburgNiedersachsenBaden-WrttembergSachsen-AnhaltThringenMecklenburg-VorpommernBerlinBrandenburg

Baden-WrttembergBaden-WrttembergCHE-Prognose bis zum Jahr 2020

Baden-WrttembergPrognose der Studienanfngerzahlen unter Bercksichtigung der verzgerten Studienaufnahme von ein bis vier Jahren nach dem Abitur, z. B. aufgrund von Zivildienst oder Ausbildung+11.000Prognose: StudienanfngerInnen(verzgerte Studienaufnahme)Baden-Wrttemberg

Diagramm2

40033.457670213138175.77446651

41365.688187071838175.77446651

42519.428602223338175.77446651

43422.524408541138175.77446651

44538.496855261138175.77446651

48803.979684906538175.77446651

49563.466671303738175.77446651

44993.075713105438175.77446651

42818.074273540338175.77446651

42060.849105280938175.77446651

41617.935242066638175.77446651

41646.021491926138175.77446651

41428.694319006638175.77446651

40450.485617660538175.77446651

Prognose StudienanfngerInnen

Basisjahr 2005

Tabelle2

Studien-berechtigte Schul-abgnger 2)Studien-anfnger 3) (1. Hochschul-semester)Davon mit Studienbeginn ... nach Erwerb der HZBLand und Jahr des Erwerbs der HZB 1)--------GeschlechtStudien-berechtigte Schul-abgnger 2)Studien-anfnger 3) (1. Hochschul-semester)Davon mit Studienbeginn ... nach Erwerb der HZB

im gleichen Jahrein Jahrzwei Jahredrei Jahrevier Jahre und spterim gleichen Jahrein Jahrzwei Jahredrei Jahrevier Jahre und spter

Baden-Wrttemberg2000 i424993333512396145473515172811492000 i10078.429.234.28.34.12.7

Bayern2000 i403333314414615130912551170911782000 i10082.236.232.56.34.22.9

Berlin2000 i14168121635238417613637895972000 i10085.837.029.59.65.64.2

Brandenburg2000 i134897921326128677136254552000 i10058.724.221.35.34.63.4

Bremen2000 i2922248710799211851821202000 i10085.136.931.56.36.24.1

Hamburg2000 i82085286195416958174823382000 i10064.423.820.710.05.94.1

Hessen2000 i269022066492457509161513699262000 i10076.834.427.96.05.13.4

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern2000 i83495569233721094204112922000 i10066.728.025.35.04.93.5

Niedersachsen2000 i3162722238880086821803172112322000 i10070.327.827.55.75.43.9

Nordrhein-Westfalen2000 i852295642722812208304697441436742000 i10066.226.824.45.55.24.3

Rheinland-Pfalz2000 i1526711459459845769528105232000 i10075.130.130.06.25.33.4

Saarland2000 i44603363153112622351961392000 i10075.434.328.35.34.43.1

Sachsen2000 i19778135705291561211738536412000 i10068.626.828.45.94.33.2

Sachsen-Anhalt2000 i122658101337032035645673972000 i10066.027.526.14.64.63.2

Schleswig-Holstein2000 i94916911255927207135064132000 i10072.827.028.77.55.34.4

Thringen2000 i125528568361431697226434202000 i10068.328.825.25.85.13.3

Studienbeginn

sofortnach 1 Jahrnach 2 Jahrennach 3 Jahrenspter

Baden-Wrttemberg29.2%34.2%8.3%4.1%2.7%78.4%

Bayern36.2%32.5%6.3%4.2%2.9%82.2%

Berlin37.0%29.5%9.6%5.6%4.2%85.8%

Brandenburg24.2%21.3%5.3%4.6%3.4%58.7%

Bremen36.9%31.5%6.3%6.2%4.1%85.1%

Hamburg23.8%20.7%10.0%5.9%4.1%64.4%

Hessen34.4%27.9%6.0%5.1%3.4%76.8%

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern28.0%25.3%5.0%4.9%3.5%66.7%

Niedersachsen27.8%27.5%5.7%5.4%3.9%70.3%

Nordrhein-Westfalen26.8%24.4%5.5%5.2%4.3%66.2%

Rheinland-Pfalz30.1%30.0%6.2%5.3%3.4%75.1%

Saarland34.3%28.3%5.3%4.4%3.1%75.4%

Sachsen26.8%28.4%5.9%4.3%3.2%68.6%

Sachsen-Anhalt27.5%26.1%4.6%4.6%3.2%66.0%

Schleswig-Holstein27.0%28.7%7.5%5.3%4.4%72.8%

Thringen28.8%25.2%5.8%5.1%3.3%68.3%

Normiert:

sofortnach 1 Jahrnach 2 Jahrennach 3 Jahrenspter

Baden-Wrttemberg37.2%43.6%10.5%5.2%3.4%

Bayern44.1%39.5%7.7%5.2%3.6%

Berlin43.1%34.3%11.2%6.5%4.9%

Brandenburg41.2%36.2%9.0%7.9%5.7%

Bremen43.4%37.0%7.4%7.3%4.8%

Hamburg37.0%32.1%15.5%9.1%6.4%

Hessen44.7%36.3%7.8%6.6%4.5%

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern42.0%37.9%7.5%7.4%5.2%

Niedersachsen39.6%39.0%8.1%7.7%5.5%

Nordrhein-Westfalen40.4%36.9%8.3%7.8%6.5%

Rheinland-Pfalz40.1%39.9%8.3%7.1%4.6%

Saarland45.5%37.5%7.0%5.8%4.1%

Sachsen39.0%41.4%8.6%6.3%4.7%

Sachsen-Anhalt41.6%39.5%7.0%7.0%4.9%

Schleswig-Holstein37.0%39.4%10.3%7.3%6.0%

Thringen42.2%37.0%8.4%7.5%4.9%

Tabelle1

Basiswert 2000-200434579.236377.815875.25620.83880.49157.420561.25127.82173660007.613013.82494.416203.87607.26229.67614

BWBYBEBBHBHHHEMVNINWRPSLSNSTSHTH

200538175.7744665139928.220197040914693.92703535595620.77188355024236.98282528768573.975824458923525.88266263245318.708137862821618.593709809165067.373024575414612.0271955912540.842898205615229.56113134737748.61946734796208.47661047787090.7229299474

200639889.307740524641565.710749448914868.9542350885671.42329777174375.04912710238888.795225359824326.31727176595333.036584429422332.978115699167774.437424350215389.23737179942709.595079236915326.68505570647716.07472681156428.0162243957100.1017705108

200741428.991200087242763.718064993315358.75610611485781.10590514854529.34550920249313.031253908925051.22132278775440.696822323323719.910618713370049.49468443815937.99016690132740.93637861615658.296205413710624.9218313586843.10996823337135.4439617604

200842638.22750718143629.548239190615213.4989371065663.88158121844604.76772779079593.899532153825378.47925990537523.832277412823874.687158371970944.473878149116280.31852003042793.445369046814759.49954489537396.23683721657160.39633295236661.6172973792

200943474.780444962444385.120370917814702.3980140475290.14852260524675.91673112049512.928363945225401.80240992694767.512788812823931.578341932271185.925476618717054.31129976663831.341878476212772.29294117896438.08462365126989.20044728065824.117344758

201044225.243609411944744.115990436513591.21615306884828.67003763184736.927726419611594.439969944425468.84017492113931.818965537724754.280194827871797.82848509216853.35721088732895.089468343110434.99701014835379.30518669747235.02632021124811.0534964212

201145527.766683238865444.972216226512962.57198753854359.41308639165874.402230410357.311609049925974.54124996963720.831272835433664.430954536973105.861880243916953.24209240142844.11772600959507.87348394055255.10267447167339.16244238864564.0984103574

201255411.615506503545989.230970022815624.85195968594572.90810500785656.36989688879269.400759725125666.13650710483493.999343866623795.745942193669710.034700229916886.64792440112807.65333425258700.42595152014633.4562851896776.91485519144160.9779582171

201345188.622514824143946.600555138811748.32668090583675.38296968834776.991759619286.803107122229675.31191179423236.084477036324567.118648209592177.068858487817316.19512796972663.37704893458262.45684799654366.73694620026730.0159483513935.3165977312

201441863.611832431142811.718089881611413.75541578723638.17908247274611.34614149249046.265042008528415.78014171933236.865201780223580.154741204667052.910674181316267.96855697212603.39964632458243.37207575154318.4618062626571.65976297424043.1517887568

201541331.812075942243352.342054680911530.34705634413686.26556068464642.61715948559057.74049053723846.73861378123416.592915711223810.936513894367850.204469137915686.40442711592636.01554944468490.84001057764464.78586374326593.33603632494174.6312025949

201641246.148635113342887.530862932811783.80411583793837.63565509154650.55582105739133.952467359624356.98494099283438.28893758123870.299276177367912.817277817915980.19603921332572.94355239848806.46814588814573.7790106196644.2500397574325.5852221628

201741712.758106684442996.125432121412940.7909238384086.14152813254603.65301978519100.336759279224116.11935148043504.34978222923433.865436104367085.056100822715709.3919964672527.76172916849033.26897926224695.72825305596595.73712367244303.7954778972

201841725.936916126942863.947424416312171.91980751833988.78327225624550.55896961558899.497595783323756.55039568883494.055595127523048.79635043465643.496652564215323.1573753042431.51269202829162.68956592124696.47686781026372.77636046714333.2941589385

201941049.600214258841984.82632554211705.43510028763908.52078811194437.91898428678754.356009006523211.62577261873491.642866969122528.035008573164028.581326447914950.7609661082374.04487790289258.12453519524639.61349059346251.4525869774344.9111471214

202039139.303672873941034.223823668611459.04974140533856.0492341564357.98033519128618.056077592422707.21862683223419.452580494921897.573678986862451.284872128814520.54338752952275.38584714489164.11974192054665.90297822346089.75666720384310.2787346478

PrognoseBasis IBasis II

2007414293457938176Landesindizes(ohne Medizin)

2008426383457938176Baden-Wrttemberg113

2009434753457938176Bayern104

2010442253457938176Berlin93

2011455283457938176Brandenburg97

2012554123457938176Bremen125

2013451893457938176Hamburg101

2014418643457938176Hessen91

2015413323457938176Mecklenburg-Vorpommern110

2016412463457938176Niedersachsen121

2017417133457938176Nordrhein-Westfalen92

2018417263457938176Rheinland-Pfalz79

2019410503457938176Saarland117

2020391393457938176Sachsen104

Sachsen-Anhalt94

Schleswig-Holstein88

Thringen101

Wanderung

Ohne Fachlichkeiten

Akk. Zus. StudienanfngerAkk. Freie PltzeDifferenzDifferenz bei Bercksichtigung der Fachlichkeiten

27357-275005485722187

46213-480559426846113

63906-7050813441466160

83822-10151918534083252

Kosten

150,464,253 301,713,091

254,171,857 518,473,270

351,483,173 739,278,401

461,019,044 1,019,371,058

Summe1,217,138,327 2,578,835,821 1521422909.26176

Einsparung-1,361,697,493

Akkumulierte Studienpltze (alle Salden)

BWBYBEBBHBHHHEMVNINWRPSLSNSTSHTH

2007325328356651602927391525122210149821326200429287663545

20087716653711842036601759337823274357108592994453-4125241587-384

200913015109941193-127109926985254177666701697854371743-249912132367-1651

2010190641581090-91915995718719738998062370876782097-7293-11563394-3931

positive Salden

2007325328356651602927391525122210149821326200429287663545

200877166537118420366017593378232743571085929944530252415870

20091301510994119301099269852541776667016978543717430121323670

20101906415810900159957187197389980623708767820970033940

negative Salden

20070000000000000000

20080000000000004100384

2009000127000000002499001651

2010000919000000007293115603931

Zusatzbedarf (akkumuliert) nach Fchern [in Stuckrad Wanderungen_gg wurden die akkumulierten Werte eingefgt und dann die Werte bernommen]

UniFH

Sprach/Kultur (uni)Sport (uni)Recht/WiWi/Sozial (uni)Mathe/Natur (uni)Medizin (uni)veterinr (uni)Agrar/Forst/Ern. (uni)ingenieur (uni)Kunst (uni)Sprach/Kultur (fh)Recht/WiWi/Sozial (fh)Mathe/ Natur (fh)Medizin (fh)Agrar/Forst/Ern. (fh)ingenieur (fh)Kunst (fh)Kontrollsumme

20074032279378232338316124814105202403176889138283286120522187

200886815578157687617501225022792110436465591898308573588041646539

200913341858122821047326051877244203169446699082885465777895561570437

2010183441172167571427334902539615850230060113774393065710081234084096551

Geringerer Bedarf (akkumuliert) nach Fchern

UniFH

Sprach/Kultur (uni)Sport (uni)Recht/WiWi/Sozial (uni)Mathe/Natur (uni)Medizin (uni)veterinr (uni)Agrar/Forst/Ern. (uni)ingenieur (uni)Kunst (uni)Sprach/Kultur (fh)Recht/WiWi/Sozial (fh)Mathe/ Natur (fh)Medizin (fh)Agrar/Forst/Ern. (fh)ingenieur (fh)Kunst (fh)Kontrollsumme

200700000000000000000

200893127150150435111571456501426

2009855886295941672234484119464461452441566184277

201025512531976184151264110147435318414534676514917767113299

Erhhung der Wanderungsquote um100%

Salden

UniFH

Sprach/Kultur (uni)Sport (uni)Recht/WiWi/Sozial (uni)Mathe/Natur (uni)Medizin (uni)veterinr (uni)Agrar/Forst/Ern. (uni)ingenieur (uni)Kunst (uni)Sprach/Kultur (fh)Recht/WiWi/Sozial (fh)Mathe/ Natur (fh)Medizin (fh)Agrar/Forst/Ern. (fh)ingenieur (fh)Kunst (fh)Kontrollsumme

20074032279378232338316124814105202403176889138283286120522187

200885885448086682617351214982757109236465011884303567583041546113

20091248677011653987924391656903718157442194622740441737838959766160

20101579491914780124332977189851437619474171232134635928601056476983252

gedreht

Nach Bundeslndern

Positive Salden

2007200820092010

Baden-Wrttemberg3253771613015190641

Bayern2835653710994158102

Berlin66511841193903

Brandenburg160203004

Bremen292660109915995

Hamburg7391759269857186

Hessen15253378525471977

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern122232717763898

Niedersachsen21014357667098069

Nordrhein-Westfalen498210859169782370810

Rheinland-Pfalz132629945437767811

Saarland2004531743209712

Sachsen42900013

Sachsen-Anhalt287625241213014

Schleswig-Holstein63515872367339415

Thringen4500016

1234

Negative Salden

2007200820092010

Baden-Wrttemberg0000

Bayern0000

Berlin0000

Brandenburg00127919

Bremen0000

Hamburg0000

Hessen0000

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern0000

Niedersachsen0000

Nordrhein-Westfalen0000

Rheinland-Pfalz0000

Saarland0000

Sachsen04124997293

Sachsen-Anhalt0001156

Schleswig-Holstein0000

Thringen038416513931

Nach Fachlichkeiten

Positive Salden

2007200820092010Indizes2007200820092010

Universitten

Sprach- und Kulturwissenschaften4,0328,68113,34118,34470115,522,741 33,420,913 51,361,457 70,625,165 170,930,277

Sport2795578581,1728221,259,073 2,510,857 3,869,287 5,285,839 12,925,055

Rechts-, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften3,7828,15712,28216,75763313,103,107 28,264,012 42,555,446 58,061,374 141,983,940

Mathematik, Naturwissenschaften3,2336,87610,47314,273150426,672,965 56,731,009 86,402,347 117,755,720 287,562,042

Humanmedizin/Gesundheitswissenschaften8311,7502,6053,4901,149552,512,057 110,596,302 164,643,462 220,522,372 548,274,194

Veterinrmedizin611221872532476825,142 1,655,214 2,543,492 3,441,562 8,465,409

Agrar-, Forst- und Ernhrungswissenschaften24850272496119172,605,785 5,272,563 7,600,454 10,095,604 25,574,406

Ingenieurwissenschaften1,4102,7924,2035,850177813,721,823 27,182,645 40,912,674 56,946,230 138,763,372

Kunst, Kunstwissenschaft5201,1041,6942,30011593,288,988 6,979,931 10,712,808 14,544,774 35,526,501

Fachhochschulen

Sprach- und Kulturwissenschaften24036446660190101,189,099 1,803,649 2,308,423 2,975,879 8,277,050

Rechts-, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften3,1766,5599,90813,774741112,924,989 26,694,567 40,323,689 56,060,365 136,003,610

Mathematik, Naturwissenschaften8891,8982,8853,93083124,059,747 8,662,935 13,168,263 17,939,233 43,830,178

Humanmedizin/Gesundheitswissenschaften1383084656574613348,342 779,198 1,176,362 1,663,457 3,967,359

Agrar-, Forst- und Ernhrungswissenschaften2835737771,008103141,602,155 3,246,056 4,404,489 5,711,455 14,964,154

Ingenieurwissenschaften2,8615,8808,95512,3401101517,307,245 35,571,854 54,177,770 74,658,751 181,715,619

Kunst, Kunstwissenschaft205416615840107161,207,095 2,450,557 3,620,104 4,945,692 12,223,448

Summe168,150,352 351,822,261 529,780,528 721,233,472 1,770,986,613 1,222,712,419

Negative Salden

2007200820092010

Universitten

Sprach- und Kulturwissenschaften0938552551

Sport01288253

Rechts-, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften0716291976

Mathematik, Naturwissenschaften0505941841

Humanmedizin/Gesundheitswissenschaften015167512

Veterinrmedizin002264

Agrar-, Forst- und Ernhrungswissenschaften0434110

Ingenieurwissenschaften0354841474

Kunst, Kunstwissenschaft011119353

Fachhochschulen

Sprach- und Kulturwissenschaften0146184

Rechts-, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften0574461453

Mathematik, Naturwissenschaften014145467

Humanmedizin/Gesundheitswissenschaften052465

Agrar-, Forst- und Ernhrungswissenschaften0641149

Ingenieurwissenschaften0505661776

Kunst, Kunstwissenschaft011871

Wanderungsquote100%

2007200820092010Indizes2007200820092010

Universitten

Sprach- und Kulturwissenschaften40328588124861579470115,522,741 33,063,450 48,070,679 60,805,564 157,462,435

Sport2795447709198221,259,073 2,454,595 3,474,288 4,143,430 11,331,386

Rechts-, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften37828086116531478063313,103,107 28,017,152 40,376,651 51,213,629 132,710,539

Mathematik, Naturwissenschaften32336826987912433150426,672,965 56,316,107 81,498,070 102,569,372 267,056,515

Humanmedizin/Gesundheitswissenschaften8311735243929771,149552,512,057 109,619,511 154,106,343 188,140,748 504,378,658

Veterinrmedizin611211651892476825,142 1,650,252 2,243,502 2,565,921 7,284,817

Agrar-, Forst- und Ernhrungswissenschaften24849869085119172,605,785 5,235,100 7,245,104 8,944,124 24,030,112

Ingenieurwissenschaften1410275737184376177813,721,823 26,840,406 36,197,869 42,596,760 119,356,858

Kunst, Kunstwissenschaft52010921574194711593,288,988 6,907,839 9,958,481 12,311,974 32,467,283

Fachhochschulen

Sprach- und Kulturwissenschaften24036442141790101,189,099 1,799,997 2,081,890 2,065,837 7,136,822

Rechts-, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften31766501946212321741112,924,989 26,460,862 38,510,314 50,145,205 128,041,370

Mathematik, Naturwissenschaften88918842740346383124,059,747 8,600,698 12,508,400 15,808,500 40,977,346

Humanmedizin/Gesundheitswissenschaften1383034415924613348,342 767,205 1,115,029 1,499,014 3,729,590

Agrar-, Forst- und Ernhrungswissenschaften283567737860103141,602,155 3,213,793 4,174,708 4,869,988 13,860,643

Ingenieurwissenschaften286158308389105641101517,307,245 35,271,277 50,752,904 63,912,628 167,244,054

Kunst, Kunstwissenschaft205415597769107161,207,095 2,444,663 3,513,030 4,528,219 11,693,007

Summe168,150,352 348,662,906 495,827,265 616,120,912 1,628,761,434 1,124,382,776

Einsparung0.03,159,355 33,953,263 105,112,561 142,225,179 98,329,643

BW

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

2003377712003

2004364022004

2005381762005

2006398892006

200741429345793817620074003338176

200842638345793817620084136638176

200943475345793817620094251938176

201044225345793817620104342338176

201145528345793817620114453838176

201255412345793817620124880438176

201345189345793817620134956338176

201441864345793817620144499338176

201541332345793817620154281838176

201641246345793817620164206138176

201741713345793817620174161838176

201841726345793817620184164638176

201941050345793817620194142938176Summe Kosten (+)$1,465,228,166

202039139345793817620204045038176Summe Pltze (-)0

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex1131

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20071858185818580$10,217,258$11,541,119

20083190504850480$27,761,783$31,358,909

20094344939193910$51,651,881$58,344,473

2010524714638146380$80,509,006$90,940,648

2011636319143191430$105,286,721$118,928,840

20121062826581265810$146,197,324$165,140,276

20131138833625336250$184,939,534$208,902,357

2014681735196351960$193,577,566$218,659,629

2015464233475334750$184,115,242$207,971,261

2016388526732267320$147,028,023$166,078,610

2017344218787187870$103,327,601$116,715,874

2018347015440154400$84,918,802$95,921,827

2019325314050140500$77,277,213$87,290,108

2020227512440124400$68,420,213$77,285,498

BW

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

Prognose Studienanfnger

Basisjahr 2005

BY

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

Prognose Studienanfnger

Basisjahr 2005

BE

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Zustzliche Studierende gegenber 2005

BB

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

2003375742003

2004383402004

2005399282005

2006415662006

2007427643637839928200741627

2008436303637839928200842725

2009443853637839928200943649

2010447443637839928201044306

2011654453637839928201153721

2012459893637839928201253362

2013439473637839928201346514

2014428123637839928201444805

2015433523637839928201544126

2016428883637839928201643246

2017429963637839928201743017

2018428643637839928201842939

2019419853637839928201942515Summe Kosten (+)$1,449,621,665

2020410343637839928202041743Summe Pltze (-)0

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20071699169916990$9,345,559$9,728,184

20082797449644960$24,728,681$25,741,122

20093721821782170$45,192,446$47,042,714

2010437712594125940$69,267,961$72,103,928

20111379324688246880$135,783,316$141,342,554

20121343335324353240$194,283,434$202,237,782

2013658638189381890$210,040,222$218,639,684

2014487738689386890$212,788,693$221,500,683

2015419829094290940$160,014,730$166,566,050

2016331818978189780$104,379,628$108,653,137

2017308815481154810$85,145,479$88,631,504

2018301113614136140$74,879,457$77,945,170

2019258712004120040$66,020,184$68,723,180

2020181510500105000$57,751,876$60,116,352

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex1042

HB

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

2003137222003

2004142672004

2005146942005

2006148692006

2007153591587514694200714961

2008152131587514694200815152

2009147021587514694200914969

2010135911587514694201014323

2011129631587514694201113638

2012156251587514694201214433

2013117481587514694201313486

2014114141587514694201412227

2015115301587514694201511838

2016117841587514694201611838

2017129411587514694201712231

2018121721587514694201812311

2019117051587514694201912002Summe Kosten (+)$14,417,271

2020114591587514694202011738Summe Pltze (-)68,260

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20072672672670$1,469,331$1,370,645

20084587257250$3,987,774$3,719,939

2009275100010000$5,500,018$5,130,615

2010-3716296290$3,460,148$3,227,751

2011-1056-6940-694$0$0

2012-261-14130-1413$0$0

2013-1208-28960-2896$0$0

2014-2467-49920-4992$0$0

2015-2856-67920-6792$0$0

2016-2856-93860-9386$0$0

2017-2463-106420-10642$0$0

2018-2383-105580-10558$0$0

2019-2692-103940-10394$0$0

2020-2956-104950-10495$0$0

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex933

HH

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

200353152003

200455092004

200556212005

200656712006

200757815621562120075683

200856645621562120085700

200952905621562120095519

201048295621562120105185

201143595621562120114788

201245735621562120124645

201336755621562120134225

201436385621562120143874

201536865621562120153761

201638385621562120163786

201740865621562120173907

201839895621562120183965

201939095621562120193940Summe Kosten (+)$1,347,685

202038565621562120203902Summe Pltze (-)53,311

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20076363630$344,985$335,024

2008791421420$780,186$757,659

2009-10140400$222,514$216,089

2010-435-3950-395$0$0

2011-833-12910-1291$0$0

2012-976-23450-2345$0$0

2013-1396-36400-3640$0$0

2014-1746-49510-4951$0$0

2015-1860-59780-5978$0$0

2016-1834-68370-6837$0$0

2017-1714-71550-7155$0$0

2018-1656-70650-7065$0$0

2019-1681-68860-6886$0$0

2020-1719-67700-6770$0$0

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex974

HE

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

200340202003

200441672004

200542372005

200643752006

200745293880423720074390

200846053880423720084505

200946763880423720094591

201047373880423720104663

201158743880423720115161

201256563880423720125575

201347773880423720135184

201446113880423720144857

201546433880423720154781

201646513880423720164701

201746043880423720174636

201845513880423720184590

201944383880423720194522Summe Kosten (+)$151,694,774

202043583880423720204439Summe Pltze (-)0

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20071531531530$843,089$1,053,079

20082684224220$2,319,797$2,897,592

20093547767760$4,266,977$5,329,760

2010426120212020$6,610,120$8,256,514

2011924197319730$10,850,774$13,553,395

20121338304230420$16,731,399$20,898,717

2013947363536350$19,992,037$24,971,488

2014620382938290$21,056,890$26,301,566

2015544344834480$18,966,169$23,690,105

2016464257525750$14,162,286$17,689,711

2017399202720270$11,148,445$13,925,207

2018353176017600$9,679,875$12,090,858

2019285150115010$8,253,564$10,309,293

2020202123912390$6,813,352$8,510,366

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex1255

MV

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

200381262003

200482912004

200585742005

200688892006

200793139157857420078922

200895949157857420089259

200995139157857420099410

20101159491578574201010220

20111035791578574201110512

2012926991578574201210078

201392879157857420139612

201490469157857420149416

201590589157857420159143

201691349157857420169107

201791009157857420179112

201888999157857420189019

201987549157857420198897Summe Kosten (+)$242,464,509

202086189157857420208767Summe Pltze (-)0

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20073483483480$1,912,620$1,926,152

2008685103310330$5,681,832$5,722,032

2009836186918690$10,278,663$10,351,388

20101646351535150$19,332,382$19,469,165

20111938510551050$28,078,631$28,277,297

20121504592459240$32,581,610$32,812,136

20131038612661260$33,695,537$33,933,944

2014842532253220$29,270,809$29,477,910

2015569395339530$21,741,236$21,895,062

2016533298229820$16,403,233$16,519,291

2017538248224820$13,651,495$13,748,084

2018445208620860$11,471,745$11,552,911

2019323184018400$10,118,026$10,189,615

2020193149914990$8,246,690$8,305,038

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex1016

NI

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

2003228492003

2004235782004

2005235262005

2006243262006

2007250512056123526200724449

2008253782056123526200824962

2009254022056123526200925207

2010254692056123526201025354

2011259752056123526201125635

2012256662056123526201225751

2013296752056123526201327467

2014284162056123526201428407

2015238472056123526201526179

2016243572056123526201624900

2017241162056123526201724732

2018237572056123526201824152

2019232122056123526201923598Summe Kosten (+)$542,781,473

2020227072056123526202023159Summe Pltze (-)0

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20079239239230$5,076,818$4,614,766

20081436235923590$12,976,762$11,795,722

20091681404140410$22,223,629$20,201,013

20101828586958690$32,277,664$29,340,011

20112109705570550$38,800,524$35,269,212

20122225784378430$43,137,054$39,211,065

2013394110103101030$55,567,284$50,509,996

2014488113156131560$72,357,372$65,771,985

2015265313700137000$75,348,764$68,491,124

2016137412849128490$70,668,181$64,236,531

2017120610114101140$55,626,737$50,564,038

2018626586058600$32,228,169$29,295,020

201972327932790$18,034,173$16,392,848

2020-367153815380$8,458,343$7,688,532

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex917

NW

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

200351072003

200451962004

200553192005

200653332006

200754415128531920075353

200875245128531920086285

200947685128531920095933

201039325128531920104701

201137215128531920114246

201234945128531920123930

201332365128531920133501

201432375128531920143339

201534175128531920153354

201634385128531920163401

201735045128531920173440

201834945128531920183473

201934925128531920193488Summe Kosten (+)$20,041,658

202034195128531920203461Summe Pltze (-)58,799

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20073434340$187,294$205,668

2008966100010000$5,499,289$6,038,773

2009614161416140$8,876,081$9,746,831

2010-6189969960$5,478,993$6,016,486

2011-1073-1110-111$0$0

2012-1389-24660-2466$0$0

2013-1818-48970-4897$0$0

2014-1980-62590-6259$0$0

2015-1965-71510-7151$0$0

2016-1918-76800-7680$0$0

2017-1879-77420-7742$0$0

2018-1846-76080-7608$0$0

2019-1830-74730-7473$0$0

2020-1857-74130-7413$0$0

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex1108

RP

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

2003199882003

2004210982004

2005216192005

2006223332006

2007237202173621619200722604

2008238752173621619200823365

2009239322173621619200923628

2010247542173621619201024126

2011336642173621619201128067

2012237962173621619201227761

2013245672173621619201324998

2014235802173621619201424812

2015238112173621619201524315

2016238702173621619201623866

2017234342173621619201723715

2018230492173621619201823352

2019225282173621619201922982Summe Kosten (+)$784,221,001

2020218982173621619202022466Summe Pltze (-)0

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20079859859850$5,419,616$6,571,054

20081746273127310$15,022,552$18,214,206

20092010474147410$26,076,572$31,616,736

20102508724972490$39,869,444$48,340,009

2011644912712127120$69,918,696$84,773,451

2012614217109171090$94,098,805$114,090,805

2013337918478184780$101,630,774$123,222,998

2014319319164191640$105,401,946$127,795,385

2015269615411154110$84,761,133$102,769,275

2016224711516115160$63,336,189$76,792,440

2017209710233102330$56,282,524$68,240,171

20181734877387730$48,253,377$58,505,170

20191363744074400$40,922,400$49,616,672

2020848604160410$33,226,973$40,286,294

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex1219

SL

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

2003624742003

2004636442004

2005650672005

2006677742006

2007700496000865067200767824

2008709446000865067200869446

2009711866000865067200970361

2010717986000865067201071103

2011731066000865067201172095

2012697106000865067201271391

2013921776000865067201379365

2014670536000865067201477335

2015678506000865067201569992

2016679136000865067201669794

2017670856000865067201769072

2018656436000865067201866621

2019640296000865067201965431Summe Kosten (+)$1,608,610,931

2020624516000865067202064009Summe Pltze (-)0

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20072756275627560$15,159,927$13,878,725

20084379713571350$39,242,460$35,925,984

2009529412429124290$68,357,175$62,580,144

2010603518464184640$101,551,313$92,968,965

2011702822735227350$125,043,841$114,476,082

2012632424680246800$135,741,060$124,269,254

20131429833684336840$185,263,660$169,606,578

20141226839917399170$219,543,164$200,989,038

2015492537814378140$207,976,012$190,399,454

2016472736217362170$199,192,059$182,357,854

2017400425923259230$142,577,972$130,528,361

2018155415209152090$83,649,707$76,580,267

201936310648106480$58,563,482$53,614,139

2020-1058486348630$26,749,102$24,488,470

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex9210

SN

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

2003139412003

2004143602004

2005146122005

2006153892006

2007159381301414612200715410

2008162801301414612200815867

2009170541301414612200916460

2010168531301414612201016741

2011169531301414612201116824

2012168871301414612201216876

2013173161301414612201317101

2014162681301414612201416809

2015156861301414612201516164

2016159801301414612201616014

2017157091301414612201715931

2018153231301414612201815594

2019149511301414612201915265Summe Kosten (+)$453,246,329

2020145211301414612202014907Summe Pltze (-)0

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20077987987980$4,386,283$3,456,401

20081255205320530$11,291,376$8,897,631

20091848390139010$21,455,416$16,906,918

20102129603060300$33,163,373$26,132,817

20112212744474440$40,941,816$32,262,248

20122264845384530$46,489,266$36,633,652

20132489909390930$50,013,626$39,410,855

20142197916291620$50,391,327$39,708,485

20151552850285020$46,763,542$36,849,781

20161402764076400$42,022,598$33,113,906

20171319647164710$35,591,020$28,045,808

2018982525552550$28,904,699$22,776,971

2019653435643560$23,960,152$18,880,657

2020295324932490$17,871,834$14,083,047

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex7911

ST

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

200324602003

200425572004

200525412005

200627102006

200727412494254120072690

200827932494254120082741

200938312494254120093246

201028952494254120103221

201128442494254120112923

201228082494254120122885

201326632494254120132794

201426032494254120142671

201526362494254120152646

201625732494254120162614

201725282494254120172563

201824322494254120182497

201923742494254120192430Summe Kosten (+)$66,078,848

202022752494254120202353Summe Pltze (-)379

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20071491491490$818,515$957,524

20082003493490$1,918,717$2,244,575

2009705105410540$5,795,438$6,779,684

2010680173417340$9,537,061$11,156,751

2011383196819680$10,822,943$12,661,016

2012344211121110$11,612,902$13,585,134

2013254166016600$9,130,695$10,681,371

2014130111011100$6,104,574$7,141,321

20151058328320$4,576,930$5,354,236

2016735615610$3,087,644$3,612,022

2017223303300$1,814,677$2,122,865

2018-441561560$858,751$1,004,594

2019-110-590-59$0$0

2020-188-3200-320$0$0

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex11712

SH

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

2003140122003

2004149352004

2005152302005

2006153272006

2007156581620415230200715374

2008147591620415230200815209

2009127721620415230200914095

2010104351620415230201012327

201195081620415230201110809

20128700162041523020129732

20138262162041523020138904

20148243162041523020148486

20158491162041523020158430

20168806162041523020168588

20179033162041523020178807

20189163162041523020188989

20199258162041523020199134Summe Kosten (+)$1,478,835

20209164162041523020209178Summe Pltze (-)224,289

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20071451451450$796,912$828,441

2008-211241240$681,923$708,903

2009-1135-10110-1011$0$0

2010-2903-39140-3914$0$0

2011-4420-84780-8478$0$0

2012-5497-139550-13955$0$0

2013-6326-191460-19146$0$0

2014-6744-229870-22987$0$0

2015-6800-253670-25367$0$0

2016-6641-265100-26510$0$0

2017-6423-266070-26607$0$0

2018-6240-261040-26104$0$0

2019-6096-254000-25400$0$0

2020-6052-248110-24811$0$0

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex10413

TH

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

200374382003

200476762004

200577492005

200677162006

2007106257607774920078910

200873967607774920088733

200964387607774920097264

201053797607774920106425

201152557607774920115801

201246337607774920125199

201343677607774920134712

201443187607774920144487

201544657607774920154450

201645747607774920164499

201746967607774920174589

201846967607774920184651

201946407607774920194654Summe Kosten (+)$29,196,873

202046667607774920204657Summe Pltze (-)104,543

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20071162116211620$6,389,834$5,984,850

2008985214621460$11,804,969$11,056,778

2009-485166216620$9,139,699$8,560,431

2010-13233393390$1,862,372$1,744,336

2011-1948-27710-2771$0$0

2012-2550-63060-6306$0$0

2013-3037-88580-8858$0$0

2014-3261-107960-10796$0$0

2015-3298-121470-12147$0$0

2016-3249-128460-12846$0$0

2017-3160-129690-12969$0$0

2018-3098-128060-12806$0$0

2019-3094-126010-12601$0$0

2020-3091-124440-12444$0$0

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex9414

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

200360072003

200460332004

200562082005

200664282006

200768436230620820076509

200871606230620820086834

200969896230620820096947

201072356230620820107041

201173396230620820117213

201267776230620820127092

201367306230620820136859

201465726230620820146750

201565936230620820156649

201666446230620820166629

201765966230620820176621

201863736230620820186515

201962516230620820196383Summe Kosten (+)$157,916,463

202060906230620820206251Summe Pltze (-)0

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20073003003000$1,652,608$1,461,137

20086269269260$5,095,263$4,504,927

2009738166516650$9,155,003$8,094,306

2010832249724970$13,732,515$12,141,468

20111004320032000$17,602,467$15,563,048

2012883345834580$19,018,365$16,814,901

2013650337033700$18,534,521$16,387,115

2014541307930790$16,933,372$14,971,475

2015441251525150$13,835,047$12,232,121

2016421205320530$11,292,066$9,983,770

2017412181518150$9,984,618$8,827,802

2018307158115810$8,695,148$7,687,730

2019175131513150$7,233,158$6,395,125

2020439379370$5,152,312$4,555,366

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex8815

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

200368732003

200471002004

200570912005

200671002006

200771357614709120077103

200866627614709120086936

200958247614709120096402

201048117614709120105628

201145647614709120115044

201241617614709120124617

201339357614709120134231

201440437614709120144091

201541757614709120154118

201643267614709120164206

201743047614709120174263

201843337614709120184295

201943457614709120194328Summe Kosten (+)$65,342

202043107614709120204326Summe Pltze (-)102,123

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20071212120$65,342$65,903

2008-155-1430-143$0$0

2009-688-8310-831$0$0

2010-1463-22940-2294$0$0

2011-2047-43520-4352$0$0

2012-2474-66720-6672$0$0

2013-2860-88430-8843$0$0

2014-2999-103800-10380$0$0

2015-2973-113060-11306$0$0

2016-2885-117170-11717$0$0

2017-2827-116840-11684$0$0

2018-2796-114810-11481$0$0

2019-2762-112700-11270$0$0

2020-2765-111500-11150$0$0

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex10116

Baden-WrttembergPrognose der zustzlichen Studierenden gegenber dem Basisjahr 2005 bei einer durchschnittlichen Studiendauer von vier JahrenGrundlage der Kostenberechnung sind 5.500 pro Jahr und Studierendem gem der Logik des Hochschulpakts.+35.000Kosten: 1,5 Mrd. !+12.000Prognose: zustzliche Studierende(4 Jahre Studium)Baden-Wrttemberg

Diagramm4

1857.6832037031

5047.596924265

9391.2510599782

14638.0010020093

19143.0401870573

26581.3316848919

33625.3697539724

35195.9210585367

33475.4984768159

26732.3678971904

18786.8364679533

15439.7822467739

14050.4022922402

12440.0388046198

Zustzliche Studierende gegenber 2005

Tabelle2

Studien-berechtigte Schul-abgnger 2)Studien-anfnger 3) (1. Hochschul-semester)Davon mit Studienbeginn ... nach Erwerb der HZBLand und Jahr des Erwerbs der HZB 1)--------GeschlechtStudien-berechtigte Schul-abgnger 2)Studien-anfnger 3) (1. Hochschul-semester)Davon mit Studienbeginn ... nach Erwerb der HZB

im gleichen Jahrein Jahrzwei Jahredrei Jahrevier Jahre und spterim gleichen Jahrein Jahrzwei Jahredrei Jahrevier Jahre und spter

Baden-Wrttemberg2000 i424993333512396145473515172811492000 i10078.429.234.28.34.12.7

Bayern2000 i403333314414615130912551170911782000 i10082.236.232.56.34.22.9

Berlin2000 i14168121635238417613637895972000 i10085.837.029.59.65.64.2

Brandenburg2000 i134897921326128677136254552000 i10058.724.221.35.34.63.4

Bremen2000 i2922248710799211851821202000 i10085.136.931.56.36.24.1

Hamburg2000 i82085286195416958174823382000 i10064.423.820.710.05.94.1

Hessen2000 i269022066492457509161513699262000 i10076.834.427.96.05.13.4

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern2000 i83495569233721094204112922000 i10066.728.025.35.04.93.5

Niedersachsen2000 i3162722238880086821803172112322000 i10070.327.827.55.75.43.9

Nordrhein-Westfalen2000 i852295642722812208304697441436742000 i10066.226.824.45.55.24.3

Rheinland-Pfalz2000 i1526711459459845769528105232000 i10075.130.130.06.25.33.4

Saarland2000 i44603363153112622351961392000 i10075.434.328.35.34.43.1

Sachsen2000 i19778135705291561211738536412000 i10068.626.828.45.94.33.2

Sachsen-Anhalt2000 i122658101337032035645673972000 i10066.027.526.14.64.63.2

Schleswig-Holstein2000 i94916911255927207135064132000 i10072.827.028.77.55.34.4

Thringen2000 i125528568361431697226434202000 i10068.328.825.25.85.13.3

Studienbeginn

sofortnach 1 Jahrnach 2 Jahrennach 3 Jahrenspter

Baden-Wrttemberg29.2%34.2%8.3%4.1%2.7%78.4%

Bayern36.2%32.5%6.3%4.2%2.9%82.2%

Berlin37.0%29.5%9.6%5.6%4.2%85.8%

Brandenburg24.2%21.3%5.3%4.6%3.4%58.7%

Bremen36.9%31.5%6.3%6.2%4.1%85.1%

Hamburg23.8%20.7%10.0%5.9%4.1%64.4%

Hessen34.4%27.9%6.0%5.1%3.4%76.8%

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern28.0%25.3%5.0%4.9%3.5%66.7%

Niedersachsen27.8%27.5%5.7%5.4%3.9%70.3%

Nordrhein-Westfalen26.8%24.4%5.5%5.2%4.3%66.2%

Rheinland-Pfalz30.1%30.0%6.2%5.3%3.4%75.1%

Saarland34.3%28.3%5.3%4.4%3.1%75.4%

Sachsen26.8%28.4%5.9%4.3%3.2%68.6%

Sachsen-Anhalt27.5%26.1%4.6%4.6%3.2%66.0%

Schleswig-Holstein27.0%28.7%7.5%5.3%4.4%72.8%

Thringen28.8%25.2%5.8%5.1%3.3%68.3%

Normiert:

sofortnach 1 Jahrnach 2 Jahrennach 3 Jahrenspter

Baden-Wrttemberg37.2%43.6%10.5%5.2%3.4%

Bayern44.1%39.5%7.7%5.2%3.6%

Berlin43.1%34.3%11.2%6.5%4.9%

Brandenburg41.2%36.2%9.0%7.9%5.7%

Bremen43.4%37.0%7.4%7.3%4.8%

Hamburg37.0%32.1%15.5%9.1%6.4%

Hessen44.7%36.3%7.8%6.6%4.5%

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern42.0%37.9%7.5%7.4%5.2%

Niedersachsen39.6%39.0%8.1%7.7%5.5%

Nordrhein-Westfalen40.4%36.9%8.3%7.8%6.5%

Rheinland-Pfalz40.1%39.9%8.3%7.1%4.6%

Saarland45.5%37.5%7.0%5.8%4.1%

Sachsen39.0%41.4%8.6%6.3%4.7%

Sachsen-Anhalt41.6%39.5%7.0%7.0%4.9%

Schleswig-Holstein37.0%39.4%10.3%7.3%6.0%

Thringen42.2%37.0%8.4%7.5%4.9%

Tabelle1

Basiswert 2000-200434579.236377.815875.25620.83880.49157.420561.25127.82173660007.613013.82494.416203.87607.26229.67614

BWBYBEBBHBHHHEMVNINWRPSLSNSTSHTH

200538175.7744665139928.220197040914693.92703535595620.77188355024236.98282528768573.975824458923525.88266263245318.708137862821618.593709809165067.373024575414612.0271955912540.842898205615229.56113134737748.61946734796208.47661047787090.7229299474

200639889.307740524641565.710749448914868.9542350885671.42329777174375.04912710238888.795225359824326.31727176595333.036584429422332.978115699167774.437424350215389.23737179942709.595079236915326.68505570647716.07472681156428.0162243957100.1017705108

200741428.991200087242763.718064993315358.75610611485781.10590514854529.34550920249313.031253908925051.22132278775440.696822323323719.910618713370049.49468443815937.99016690132740.93637861615658.296205413710624.9218313586843.10996823337135.4439617604

200842638.22750718143629.548239190615213.4989371065663.88158121844604.76772779079593.899532153825378.47925990537523.832277412823874.687158371970944.473878149116280.31852003042793.445369046814759.49954489537396.23683721657160.39633295236661.6172973792

200943474.780444962444385.120370917814702.3980140475290.14852260524675.91673112049512.928363945225401.80240992694767.512788812823931.578341932271185.925476618717054.31129976663831.341878476212772.29294117896438.08462365126989.20044728065824.117344758

201044225.243609411944744.115990436513591.21615306884828.67003763184736.927726419611594.439969944425468.84017492113931.818965537724754.280194827871797.82848509216853.35721088732895.089468343110434.99701014835379.30518669747235.02632021124811.0534964212

201145527.766683238865444.972216226512962.57198753854359.41308639165874.402230410357.311609049925974.54124996963720.831272835433664.430954536973105.861880243916953.24209240142844.11772600959507.87348394055255.10267447167339.16244238864564.0984103574

201255411.615506503545989.230970022815624.85195968594572.90810500785656.36989688879269.400759725125666.13650710483493.999343866623795.745942193669710.034700229916886.64792440112807.65333425258700.42595152014633.4562851896776.91485519144160.9779582171

201345188.622514824143946.600555138811748.32668090583675.38296968834776.991759619286.803107122229675.31191179423236.084477036324567.118648209592177.068858487817316.19512796972663.37704893458262.45684799654366.73694620026730.0159483513935.3165977312

201441863.611832431142811.718089881611413.75541578723638.17908247274611.34614149249046.265042008528415.78014171933236.865201780223580.154741204667052.910674181316267.96855697212603.39964632458243.37207575154318.4618062626571.65976297424043.1517887568

201541331.812075942243352.342054680911530.34705634413686.26556068464642.61715948559057.74049053723846.73861378123416.592915711223810.936513894367850.204469137915686.40442711592636.01554944468490.84001057764464.78586374326593.33603632494174.6312025949

201641246.148635113342887.530862932811783.80411583793837.63565509154650.55582105739133.952467359624356.98494099283438.28893758123870.299276177367912.817277817915980.19603921332572.94355239848806.46814588814573.7790106196644.2500397574325.5852221628

201741712.758106684442996.125432121412940.7909238384086.14152813254603.65301978519100.336759279224116.11935148043504.34978222923433.865436104367085.056100822715709.3919964672527.76172916849033.26897926224695.72825305596595.73712367244303.7954778972

201841725.936916126942863.947424416312171.91980751833988.78327225624550.55896961558899.497595783323756.55039568883494.055595127523048.79635043465643.496652564215323.1573753042431.51269202829162.68956592124696.47686781026372.77636046714333.2941589385

201941049.600214258841984.82632554211705.43510028763908.52078811194437.91898428678754.356009006523211.62577261873491.642866969122528.035008573164028.581326447914950.7609661082374.04487790289258.12453519524639.61349059346251.4525869774344.9111471214

202039139.303672873941034.223823668611459.04974140533856.0492341564357.98033519128618.056077592422707.21862683223419.452580494921897.573678986862451.284872128814520.54338752952275.38584714489164.11974192054665.90297822346089.75666720384310.2787346478

PrognoseBasis IBasis II

2007414293457938176Landesindizes(ohne Medizin)

2008426383457938176Baden-Wrttemberg113

2009434753457938176Bayern104

2010442253457938176Berlin93

2011455283457938176Brandenburg97

2012554123457938176Bremen125

2013451893457938176Hamburg101

2014418643457938176Hessen91

2015413323457938176Mecklenburg-Vorpommern110

2016412463457938176Niedersachsen121

2017417133457938176Nordrhein-Westfalen92

2018417263457938176Rheinland-Pfalz79

2019410503457938176Saarland117

2020391393457938176Sachsen104

Sachsen-Anhalt94

Schleswig-Holstein88

Thringen101

Wanderung

Ohne Fachlichkeiten

Akk. Zus. StudienanfngerAkk. Freie PltzeDifferenzDifferenz bei Bercksichtigung der Fachlichkeiten

27357-275005485722187

46213-480559426846113

63906-7050813441466160

83822-10151918534083252

Kosten

150,464,253 301,713,091

254,171,857 518,473,270

351,483,173 739,278,401

461,019,044 1,019,371,058

Summe1,217,138,327 2,578,835,821 1521422909.26176

Einsparung-1,361,697,493

Akkumulierte Studienpltze (alle Salden)

BWBYBEBBHBHHHEMVNINWRPSLSNSTSHTH

2007325328356651602927391525122210149821326200429287663545

20087716653711842036601759337823274357108592994453-4125241587-384

200913015109941193-127109926985254177666701697854371743-249912132367-1651

2010190641581090-91915995718719738998062370876782097-7293-11563394-3931

positive Salden

2007325328356651602927391525122210149821326200429287663545

200877166537118420366017593378232743571085929944530252415870

20091301510994119301099269852541776667016978543717430121323670

20101906415810900159957187197389980623708767820970033940

negative Salden

20070000000000000000

20080000000000004100384

2009000127000000002499001651

2010000919000000007293115603931

Zusatzbedarf (akkumuliert) nach Fchern [in Stuckrad Wanderungen_gg wurden die akkumulierten Werte eingefgt und dann die Werte bernommen]

UniFH

Sprach/Kultur (uni)Sport (uni)Recht/WiWi/Sozial (uni)Mathe/Natur (uni)Medizin (uni)veterinr (uni)Agrar/Forst/Ern. (uni)ingenieur (uni)Kunst (uni)Sprach/Kultur (fh)Recht/WiWi/Sozial (fh)Mathe/ Natur (fh)Medizin (fh)Agrar/Forst/Ern. (fh)ingenieur (fh)Kunst (fh)Kontrollsumme

20074032279378232338316124814105202403176889138283286120522187

200886815578157687617501225022792110436465591898308573588041646539

200913341858122821047326051877244203169446699082885465777895561570437

2010183441172167571427334902539615850230060113774393065710081234084096551

Geringerer Bedarf (akkumuliert) nach Fchern

UniFH

Sprach/Kultur (uni)Sport (uni)Recht/WiWi/Sozial (uni)Mathe/Natur (uni)Medizin (uni)veterinr (uni)Agrar/Forst/Ern. (uni)ingenieur (uni)Kunst (uni)Sprach/Kultur (fh)Recht/WiWi/Sozial (fh)Mathe/ Natur (fh)Medizin (fh)Agrar/Forst/Ern. (fh)ingenieur (fh)Kunst (fh)Kontrollsumme

200700000000000000000

200893127150150435111571456501426

2009855886295941672234484119464461452441566184277

201025512531976184151264110147435318414534676514917767113299

Erhhung der Wanderungsquote um100%

Salden

UniFH

Sprach/Kultur (uni)Sport (uni)Recht/WiWi/Sozial (uni)Mathe/Natur (uni)Medizin (uni)veterinr (uni)Agrar/Forst/Ern. (uni)ingenieur (uni)Kunst (uni)Sprach/Kultur (fh)Recht/WiWi/Sozial (fh)Mathe/ Natur (fh)Medizin (fh)Agrar/Forst/Ern. (fh)ingenieur (fh)Kunst (fh)Kontrollsumme

20074032279378232338316124814105202403176889138283286120522187

200885885448086682617351214982757109236465011884303567583041546113

20091248677011653987924391656903718157442194622740441737838959766160

20101579491914780124332977189851437619474171232134635928601056476983252

gedreht

Nach Bundeslndern

Positive Salden

2007200820092010

Baden-Wrttemberg3253771613015190641

Bayern2835653710994158102

Berlin66511841193903

Brandenburg160203004

Bremen292660109915995

Hamburg7391759269857186

Hessen15253378525471977

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern122232717763898

Niedersachsen21014357667098069

Nordrhein-Westfalen498210859169782370810

Rheinland-Pfalz132629945437767811

Saarland2004531743209712

Sachsen42900013

Sachsen-Anhalt287625241213014

Schleswig-Holstein63515872367339415

Thringen4500016

1234

Negative Salden

2007200820092010

Baden-Wrttemberg0000

Bayern0000

Berlin0000

Brandenburg00127919

Bremen0000

Hamburg0000

Hessen0000

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern0000

Niedersachsen0000

Nordrhein-Westfalen0000

Rheinland-Pfalz0000

Saarland0000

Sachsen04124997293

Sachsen-Anhalt0001156

Schleswig-Holstein0000

Thringen038416513931

Nach Fachlichkeiten

Positive Salden

2007200820092010Indizes2007200820092010

Universitten

Sprach- und Kulturwissenschaften4,0328,68113,34118,34470115,522,741 33,420,913 51,361,457 70,625,165 170,930,277

Sport2795578581,1728221,259,073 2,510,857 3,869,287 5,285,839 12,925,055

Rechts-, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften3,7828,15712,28216,75763313,103,107 28,264,012 42,555,446 58,061,374 141,983,940

Mathematik, Naturwissenschaften3,2336,87610,47314,273150426,672,965 56,731,009 86,402,347 117,755,720 287,562,042

Humanmedizin/Gesundheitswissenschaften8311,7502,6053,4901,149552,512,057 110,596,302 164,643,462 220,522,372 548,274,194

Veterinrmedizin611221872532476825,142 1,655,214 2,543,492 3,441,562 8,465,409

Agrar-, Forst- und Ernhrungswissenschaften24850272496119172,605,785 5,272,563 7,600,454 10,095,604 25,574,406

Ingenieurwissenschaften1,4102,7924,2035,850177813,721,823 27,182,645 40,912,674 56,946,230 138,763,372

Kunst, Kunstwissenschaft5201,1041,6942,30011593,288,988 6,979,931 10,712,808 14,544,774 35,526,501

Fachhochschulen

Sprach- und Kulturwissenschaften24036446660190101,189,099 1,803,649 2,308,423 2,975,879 8,277,050

Rechts-, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften3,1766,5599,90813,774741112,924,989 26,694,567 40,323,689 56,060,365 136,003,610

Mathematik, Naturwissenschaften8891,8982,8853,93083124,059,747 8,662,935 13,168,263 17,939,233 43,830,178

Humanmedizin/Gesundheitswissenschaften1383084656574613348,342 779,198 1,176,362 1,663,457 3,967,359

Agrar-, Forst- und Ernhrungswissenschaften2835737771,008103141,602,155 3,246,056 4,404,489 5,711,455 14,964,154

Ingenieurwissenschaften2,8615,8808,95512,3401101517,307,245 35,571,854 54,177,770 74,658,751 181,715,619

Kunst, Kunstwissenschaft205416615840107161,207,095 2,450,557 3,620,104 4,945,692 12,223,448

Summe168,150,352 351,822,261 529,780,528 721,233,472 1,770,986,613 1,222,712,419

Negative Salden

2007200820092010

Universitten

Sprach- und Kulturwissenschaften0938552551

Sport01288253

Rechts-, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften0716291976

Mathematik, Naturwissenschaften0505941841

Humanmedizin/Gesundheitswissenschaften015167512

Veterinrmedizin002264

Agrar-, Forst- und Ernhrungswissenschaften0434110

Ingenieurwissenschaften0354841474

Kunst, Kunstwissenschaft011119353

Fachhochschulen

Sprach- und Kulturwissenschaften0146184

Rechts-, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften0574461453

Mathematik, Naturwissenschaften014145467

Humanmedizin/Gesundheitswissenschaften052465

Agrar-, Forst- und Ernhrungswissenschaften0641149

Ingenieurwissenschaften0505661776

Kunst, Kunstwissenschaft011871

Wanderungsquote100%

2007200820092010Indizes2007200820092010

Universitten

Sprach- und Kulturwissenschaften40328588124861579470115,522,741 33,063,450 48,070,679 60,805,564 157,462,435

Sport2795447709198221,259,073 2,454,595 3,474,288 4,143,430 11,331,386

Rechts-, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften37828086116531478063313,103,107 28,017,152 40,376,651 51,213,629 132,710,539

Mathematik, Naturwissenschaften32336826987912433150426,672,965 56,316,107 81,498,070 102,569,372 267,056,515

Humanmedizin/Gesundheitswissenschaften8311735243929771,149552,512,057 109,619,511 154,106,343 188,140,748 504,378,658

Veterinrmedizin611211651892476825,142 1,650,252 2,243,502 2,565,921 7,284,817

Agrar-, Forst- und Ernhrungswissenschaften24849869085119172,605,785 5,235,100 7,245,104 8,944,124 24,030,112

Ingenieurwissenschaften1410275737184376177813,721,823 26,840,406 36,197,869 42,596,760 119,356,858

Kunst, Kunstwissenschaft52010921574194711593,288,988 6,907,839 9,958,481 12,311,974 32,467,283

Fachhochschulen

Sprach- und Kulturwissenschaften24036442141790101,189,099 1,799,997 2,081,890 2,065,837 7,136,822

Rechts-, Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften31766501946212321741112,924,989 26,460,862 38,510,314 50,145,205 128,041,370

Mathematik, Naturwissenschaften88918842740346383124,059,747 8,600,698 12,508,400 15,808,500 40,977,346

Humanmedizin/Gesundheitswissenschaften1383034415924613348,342 767,205 1,115,029 1,499,014 3,729,590

Agrar-, Forst- und Ernhrungswissenschaften283567737860103141,602,155 3,213,793 4,174,708 4,869,988 13,860,643

Ingenieurwissenschaften286158308389105641101517,307,245 35,271,277 50,752,904 63,912,628 167,244,054

Kunst, Kunstwissenschaft205415597769107161,207,095 2,444,663 3,513,030 4,528,219 11,693,007

Summe168,150,352 348,662,906 495,827,265 616,120,912 1,628,761,434 1,124,382,776

Einsparung0.03,159,355 33,953,263 105,112,561 142,225,179 98,329,643

BW

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

2003377712003

2004364022004

2005381762005

2006398892006

200741429345793817620074003338176

200842638345793817620084136638176

200943475345793817620094251938176

201044225345793817620104342338176

201145528345793817620114453838176

201255412345793817620124880438176

201345189345793817620134956338176

201441864345793817620144499338176

201541332345793817620154281838176

201641246345793817620164206138176

201741713345793817620174161838176

201841726345793817620184164638176

201941050345793817620194142938176Summe Kosten (+)$1,465,228,166

202039139345793817620204045038176Summe Pltze (-)0

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex1131

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20071858185818580$10,217,258$11,541,119

20083190504850480$27,761,783$31,358,909

20094344939193910$51,651,881$58,344,473

2010524714638146380$80,509,006$90,940,648

2011636319143191430$105,286,721$118,928,840

20121062826581265810$146,197,324$165,140,276

20131138833625336250$184,939,534$208,902,357

2014681735196351960$193,577,566$218,659,629

2015464233475334750$184,115,242$207,971,261

2016388526732267320$147,028,023$166,078,610

2017344218787187870$103,327,601$116,715,874

2018347015440154400$84,918,802$95,921,827

2019325314050140500$77,277,213$87,290,108

2020227512440124400$68,420,213$77,285,498

BW

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

Prognose Studienanfnger

Basisjahr 2005

BY

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

Prognose Studienanfnger

Basisjahr 2005

BE

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Zustzliche Studierende gegenber 2005

BB

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

2003375742003

2004383402004

2005399282005

2006415662006

200742764363783992820074162739928

200843630363783992820084272539928

200944385363783992820094364939928

201044744363783992820104430639928

201165445363783992820115372139928

201245989363783992820125336239928

201343947363783992820134651439928

201442812363783992820144480539928

201543352363783992820154412639928

201642888363783992820164324639928

201742996363783992820174301739928

201842864363783992820184293939928

201941985363783992820194251539928Summe Kosten (+)$1,449,621,665

202041034363783992820204174339928Summe Pltze (-)0

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20071699169916990$9,345,559$9,728,184

20082797449644960$24,728,681$25,741,122

20093721821782170$45,192,446$47,042,714

2010437712594125940$69,267,961$72,103,928

20111379324688246880$135,783,316$141,342,554

20121343335324353240$194,283,434$202,237,782

2013658638189381890$210,040,222$218,639,684

2014487738689386890$212,788,693$221,500,683

2015419829094290940$160,014,730$166,566,050

2016331818978189780$104,379,628$108,653,137

2017308815481154810$85,145,479$88,631,504

2018301113614136140$74,879,457$77,945,170

2019258712004120040$66,020,184$68,723,180

2020181510500105000$57,751,876$60,116,352

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex1042

HB

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

2003137222003

2004142672004

2005146942005

2006148692006

200715359158751469420071496114694

200815213158751469420081515214694

200914702158751469420091496914694

201013591158751469420101432314694

201112963158751469420111363814694

201215625158751469420121443314694

201311748158751469420131348614694

201411414158751469420141222714694

201511530158751469420151183814694

201611784158751469420161183814694

201712941158751469420171223114694

201812172158751469420181231114694

201911705158751469420191200214694Summe Kosten (+)$14,417,271

202011459158751469420201173814694Summe Pltze (-)68,260

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20072672672670$1,469,331$1,370,645

20084587257250$3,987,774$3,719,939

2009275100010000$5,500,018$5,130,615

2010-3716296290$3,460,148$3,227,751

2011-1056-6940-694$0$0

2012-261-14130-1413$0$0

2013-1208-28960-2896$0$0

2014-2467-49920-4992$0$0

2015-2856-67920-6792$0$0

2016-2856-93860-9386$0$0

2017-2463-106420-10642$0$0

2018-2383-105580-10558$0$0

2019-2692-103940-10394$0$0

2020-2956-104950-10495$0$0

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex933

HH

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

200353152003

200455092004

200556212005

200656712006

2007578156215621200756835621

2008566456215621200857005621

2009529056215621200955195621

2010482956215621201051855621

2011435956215621201147885621

2012457356215621201246455621

2013367556215621201342255621

2014363856215621201438745621

2015368656215621201537615621

2016383856215621201637865621

2017408656215621201739075621

2018398956215621201839655621

2019390956215621201939405621Summe Kosten (+)$1,347,685

2020385656215621202039025621Summe Pltze (-)53,311

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20076363630$344,985$335,024

2008791421420$780,186$757,659

2009-10140400$222,514$216,089

2010-435-3950-395$0$0

2011-833-12910-1291$0$0

2012-976-23450-2345$0$0

2013-1396-36400-3640$0$0

2014-1746-49510-4951$0$0

2015-1860-59780-5978$0$0

2016-1834-68370-6837$0$0

2017-1714-71550-7155$0$0

2018-1656-70650-7065$0$0

2019-1681-68860-6886$0$0

2020-1719-67700-6770$0$0

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex974

HE

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

200340202003

200441672004

200542372005

200643752006

2007452938804237200743904237

2008460538804237200845054237

2009467638804237200945914237

2010473738804237201046634237

2011587438804237201151614237

2012565638804237201255754237

2013477738804237201351844237

2014461138804237201448574237

2015464338804237201547814237

2016465138804237201647014237

2017460438804237201746364237

2018455138804237201845904237

2019443838804237201945224237Summe Kosten (+)$151,694,774

2020435838804237202044394237Summe Pltze (-)0

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20071531531530$843,089$1,053,079

20082684224220$2,319,797$2,897,592

20093547767760$4,266,977$5,329,760

2010426120212020$6,610,120$8,256,514

2011924197319730$10,850,774$13,553,395

20121338304230420$16,731,399$20,898,717

2013947363536350$19,992,037$24,971,488

2014620382938290$21,056,890$26,301,566

2015544344834480$18,966,169$23,690,105

2016464257525750$14,162,286$17,689,711

2017399202720270$11,148,445$13,925,207

2018353176017600$9,679,875$12,090,858

2019285150115010$8,253,564$10,309,293

2020202123912390$6,813,352$8,510,366

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex1255

MV

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

200381262003

200482912004

200585742005

200688892006

2007931391578574200789228574

2008959491578574200892598574

2009951391578574200994108574

201011594915785742010102208574

201110357915785742011105128574

20129269915785742012100788574

2013928791578574201396128574

2014904691578574201494168574

2015905891578574201591438574

2016913491578574201691078574

2017910091578574201791128574

2018889991578574201890198574

2019875491578574201988978574Summe Kosten (+)$242,464,509

2020861891578574202087678574Summe Pltze (-)0

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20073483483480$1,912,620$1,926,152

2008685103310330$5,681,832$5,722,032

2009836186918690$10,278,663$10,351,388

20101646351535150$19,332,382$19,469,165

20111938510551050$28,078,631$28,277,297

20121504592459240$32,581,610$32,812,136

20131038612661260$33,695,537$33,933,944

2014842532253220$29,270,809$29,477,910

2015569395339530$21,741,236$21,895,062

2016533298229820$16,403,233$16,519,291

2017538248224820$13,651,495$13,748,084

2018445208620860$11,471,745$11,552,911

2019323184018400$10,118,026$10,189,615

2020193149914990$8,246,690$8,305,038

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex1016

NI

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

2003228492003

2004235782004

2005235262005

2006243262006

200725051205612352620072444923526

200825378205612352620082496223526

200925402205612352620092520723526

201025469205612352620102535423526

201125975205612352620112563523526

201225666205612352620122575123526

201329675205612352620132746723526

201428416205612352620142840723526

201523847205612352620152617923526

201624357205612352620162490023526

201724116205612352620172473223526

201823757205612352620182415223526

201923212205612352620192359823526Summe Kosten (+)$542,781,473

202022707205612352620202315923526Summe Pltze (-)0

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20079239239230$5,076,818$4,614,766

20081436235923590$12,976,762$11,795,722

20091681404140410$22,223,629$20,201,013

20101828586958690$32,277,664$29,340,011

20112109705570550$38,800,524$35,269,212

20122225784378430$43,137,054$39,211,065

2013394110103101030$55,567,284$50,509,996

2014488113156131560$72,357,372$65,771,985

2015265313700137000$75,348,764$68,491,124

2016137412849128490$70,668,181$64,236,531

2017120610114101140$55,626,737$50,564,038

2018626586058600$32,228,169$29,295,020

201972327932790$18,034,173$16,392,848

2020-367153815380$8,458,343$7,688,532

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex917

NW

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

200351072003

200451962004

200553192005

200653332006

2007544151285319200753535319

2008752451285319200862855319

2009476851285319200959335319

2010393251285319201047015319

2011372151285319201142465319

2012349451285319201239305319

2013323651285319201335015319

2014323751285319201433395319

2015341751285319201533545319

2016343851285319201634015319

2017350451285319201734405319

2018349451285319201834735319

2019349251285319201934885319Summe Kosten (+)$20,041,658

2020341951285319202034615319Summe Pltze (-)58,799

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20073434340$187,294$205,668

2008966100010000$5,499,289$6,038,773

2009614161416140$8,876,081$9,746,831

2010-6189969960$5,478,993$6,016,486

2011-1073-1110-111$0$0

2012-1389-24660-2466$0$0

2013-1818-48970-4897$0$0

2014-1980-62590-6259$0$0

2015-1965-71510-7151$0$0

2016-1918-76800-7680$0$0

2017-1879-77420-7742$0$0

2018-1846-76080-7608$0$0

2019-1830-74730-7473$0$0

2020-1857-74130-7413$0$0

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex1108

RP

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

2003199882003

2004210982004

2005216192005

2006223332006

200723720217362161920072260421619

200823875217362161920082336521619

200923932217362161920092362821619

201024754217362161920102412621619

201133664217362161920112806721619

201223796217362161920122776121619

201324567217362161920132499821619

201423580217362161920142481221619

201523811217362161920152431521619

201623870217362161920162386621619

201723434217362161920172371521619

201823049217362161920182335221619

201922528217362161920192298221619Summe Kosten (+)$784,221,001

202021898217362161920202246621619Summe Pltze (-)0

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20079859859850$5,419,616$6,571,054

20081746273127310$15,022,552$18,214,206

20092010474147410$26,076,572$31,616,736

20102508724972490$39,869,444$48,340,009

2011644912712127120$69,918,696$84,773,451

2012614217109171090$94,098,805$114,090,805

2013337918478184780$101,630,774$123,222,998

2014319319164191640$105,401,946$127,795,385

2015269615411154110$84,761,133$102,769,275

2016224711516115160$63,336,189$76,792,440

2017209710233102330$56,282,524$68,240,171

20181734877387730$48,253,377$58,505,170

20191363744074400$40,922,400$49,616,672

2020848604160410$33,226,973$40,286,294

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex1219

SL

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

2003624742003

2004636442004

2005650672005

2006677742006

200770049600086506720076782465067

200870944600086506720086944665067

200971186600086506720097036165067

201071798600086506720107110365067

201173106600086506720117209565067

201269710600086506720127139165067

201392177600086506720137936565067

201467053600086506720147733565067

201567850600086506720156999265067

201667913600086506720166979465067

201767085600086506720176907265067

201865643600086506720186662165067

201964029600086506720196543165067Summe Kosten (+)$1,608,610,931

202062451600086506720206400965067Summe Pltze (-)0

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20072756275627560$15,159,927$13,878,725

20084379713571350$39,242,460$35,925,984

2009529412429124290$68,357,175$62,580,144

2010603518464184640$101,551,313$92,968,965

2011702822735227350$125,043,841$114,476,082

2012632424680246800$135,741,060$124,269,254

20131429833684336840$185,263,660$169,606,578

20141226839917399170$219,543,164$200,989,038

2015492537814378140$207,976,012$190,399,454

2016472736217362170$199,192,059$182,357,854

2017400425923259230$142,577,972$130,528,361

2018155415209152090$83,649,707$76,580,267

201936310648106480$58,563,482$53,614,139

2020-1058486348630$26,749,102$24,488,470

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex9210

SN

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

2003139412003

2004143602004

2005146122005

2006153892006

200715938130141461220071541014612

200816280130141461220081586714612

200917054130141461220091646014612

201016853130141461220101674114612

201116953130141461220111682414612

201216887130141461220121687614612

201317316130141461220131710114612

201416268130141461220141680914612

201515686130141461220151616414612

201615980130141461220161601414612

201715709130141461220171593114612

201815323130141461220181559414612

201914951130141461220191526514612Summe Kosten (+)$453,246,329

202014521130141461220201490714612Summe Pltze (-)0

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20077987987980$4,386,283$3,456,401

20081255205320530$11,291,376$8,897,631

20091848390139010$21,455,416$16,906,918

20102129603060300$33,163,373$26,132,817

20112212744474440$40,941,816$32,262,248

20122264845384530$46,489,266$36,633,652

20132489909390930$50,013,626$39,410,855

20142197916291620$50,391,327$39,708,485

20151552850285020$46,763,542$36,849,781

20161402764076400$42,022,598$33,113,906

20171319647164710$35,591,020$28,045,808

2018982525552550$28,904,699$22,776,971

2019653435643560$23,960,152$18,880,657

2020295324932490$17,871,834$14,083,047

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex7911

ST

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

200324602003

200425572004

200525412005

200627102006

2007274124942541200726902541

2008279324942541200827412541

2009383124942541200932462541

2010289524942541201032212541

2011284424942541201129232541

2012280824942541201228852541

2013266324942541201327942541

2014260324942541201426712541

2015263624942541201526462541

2016257324942541201626142541

2017252824942541201725632541

2018243224942541201824972541

2019237424942541201924302541Summe Kosten (+)$66,078,848

2020227524942541202023532541Summe Pltze (-)379

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20071491491490$818,515$957,524

20082003493490$1,918,717$2,244,575

2009705105410540$5,795,438$6,779,684

2010680173417340$9,537,061$11,156,751

2011383196819680$10,822,943$12,661,016

2012344211121110$11,612,902$13,585,134

2013254166016600$9,130,695$10,681,371

2014130111011100$6,104,574$7,141,321

20151058328320$4,576,930$5,354,236

2016735615610$3,087,644$3,612,022

2017223303300$1,814,677$2,122,865

2018-441561560$858,751$1,004,594

2019-110-590-59$0$0

2020-188-3200-320$0$0

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex11712

SH

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

2003140122003

2004149352004

2005152302005

2006153272006

200715658162041523020071537415230

200814759162041523020081520915230

200912772162041523020091409515230

201010435162041523020101232715230

20119508162041523020111080915230

2012870016204152302012973215230

2013826216204152302013890415230

2014824316204152302014848615230

2015849116204152302015843015230

2016880616204152302016858815230

2017903316204152302017880715230

2018916316204152302018898915230

2019925816204152302019913415230Summe Kosten (+)$1,478,835

2020916416204152302020917815230Summe Pltze (-)224,289

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20071451451450$796,912$828,441

2008-211241240$681,923$708,903

2009-1135-10110-1011$0$0

2010-2903-39140-3914$0$0

2011-4420-84780-8478$0$0

2012-5497-139550-13955$0$0

2013-6326-191460-19146$0$0

2014-6744-229870-22987$0$0

2015-6800-253670-25367$0$0

2016-6641-265100-26510$0$0

2017-6423-266070-26607$0$0

2018-6240-261040-26104$0$0

2019-6096-254000-25400$0$0

2020-6052-248110-24811$0$0

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex10413

TH

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

200374382003

200476762004

200577492005

200677162006

20071062576077749200789107749

2008739676077749200887337749

2009643876077749200972647749

2010537976077749201064257749

2011525576077749201158017749

2012463376077749201251997749

2013436776077749201347127749

2014431876077749201444877749

2015446576077749201544507749

2016457476077749201644997749

2017469676077749201745897749

2018469676077749201846517749

2019464076077749201946547749Summe Kosten (+)$29,196,873

2020466676077749202046577749Summe Pltze (-)104,543

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20071162116211620$6,389,834$5,984,850

2008985214621460$11,804,969$11,056,778

2009-485166216620$9,139,699$8,560,431

2010-13233393390$1,862,372$1,744,336

2011-1948-27710-2771$0$0

2012-2550-63060-6306$0$0

2013-3037-88580-8858$0$0

2014-3261-107960-10796$0$0

2015-3298-121470-12147$0$0

2016-3249-128460-12846$0$0

2017-3160-129690-12969$0$0

2018-3098-128060-12806$0$0

2019-3094-126010-12601$0$0

2020-3091-124440-12444$0$0

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex9414

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

200360072003

200460332004

200562082005

200664282006

2007684362306208200765096208

2008716062306208200868346208

2009698962306208200969476208

2010723562306208201070416208

2011733962306208201172136208

2012677762306208201270926208

2013673062306208201368596208

2014657262306208201467506208

2015659362306208201566496208

2016664462306208201666296208

2017659662306208201766216208

2018637362306208201865156208

2019625162306208201963836208Summe Kosten (+)$157,916,463

2020609062306208202062516208Summe Pltze (-)0

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20073003003000$1,652,608$1,461,137

20086269269260$5,095,263$4,504,927

2009738166516650$9,155,003$8,094,306

2010832249724970$13,732,515$12,141,468

20111004320032000$17,602,467$15,563,048

2012883345834580$19,018,365$16,814,901

2013650337033700$18,534,521$16,387,115

2014541307930790$16,933,372$14,971,475

2015441251525150$13,835,047$12,232,121

2016421205320530$11,292,066$9,983,770

2017412181518150$9,984,618$8,827,802

2018307158115810$8,695,148$7,687,730

2019175131513150$7,233,158$6,395,125

2020439379370$5,152,312$4,555,366

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex8815

PrognoseBasis IBasis IIStudienanfnger bei verzgerter Aufnahme des Studiums

200368732003

200471002004

200570912005

200671002006

2007713576147091200771037091

2008666276147091200869367091

2009582476147091200964027091

2010481176147091201056287091

2011456476147091201150447091

2012416176147091201246177091

2013393576147091201342317091

2014404376147091201440917091

2015417576147091201541187091

2016432676147091201642067091

2017430476147091201742637091

2018433376147091201842957091

2019434576147091201943287091Summe Kosten (+)$65,342

2020431076147091202043267091Summe Pltze (-)102,123

Differenz zu Basis IIAkk. Zustzl.Positive SaldenNegative SaldenKosten (100)Kosten (typisch)

20071212120$65,342$65,903

2008-155-1430-143$0$0

2009-688-8310-831$0$0

2010-1463-22940-2294$0$0

2011-2047-43520-4352$0$0

2012-2474-66720-6672$0$0

2013-2860-88430-8843$0$0

2014-2999-103800-10380$0$0

2015-2973-113060-11306$0$0

2016-2885-117170-11717$0$0

2017-2827-116840-11684$0$0

2018-2796-114810-11481$0$0

2019-2762-112700-11270$0$0

2020-2765-111500-11150$0$0

Jahrespreis$5,500Landesindex10116

Rheinland-PfalzHessenSchleswig-HolsteinBayernSachsenNordrhein-WestfalenSaarlandBremenHamburgNiedersachsenBaden-WrttembergSachsen-AnhaltThringenMecklenburg-VorpommernBerlinBrandenburg

BayernBayernCHE-Prognose bis zum Jahr 2020

BayernPrognose der Studienanfngerzahlen unter Bercksichtigung der verzgerten Studienaufnahme von ein bis vier Jahren nach dem Abitur, z. B. aufgrund von Zivildienst oder Ausbildung+14.000Prognose: StudienanfngerInnen(verzgerte Studienaufnahme)Bayern

Diagramm8

40033.457670213138175.77446651

41365.688187071838175.77446651

42519.428602223338175.77446651

43422.524408541138175.77446651

44538.496855261138175.77446651

48803.979684906538175.77446651

49563.466671303738175.77446651

44993.075713105438175.77446651

42818.074273540338175.77446651

42060.849105280938175.77446651

41617.935242066638175.77446651

41646.021491926138175.77446651

41428.694319006638175.77446651

40450.485617660538175.77446651

Prognose StudienanfngerInnen

Basisjahr 2005

Tabelle2

Davon mit Studienbeginn ... nach Erwerb der HZBDavon mit Studienbeginn ... nach Erwerb der HZB

im gleichen Jahrein Jahrzwei Jahredrei Jahrevier Jahre und spterim gleichen Jahrein Jahrzwei Jahredrei Jahrevier Jahre und spter

Baden-Wrttemberg2000 i424993333512396145473515172811492000 i10078.429.234.28.34.12.7

Bayern2000 i403333314414615130912551170911782000 i10082.236.232.56.34.22.9

Berlin2000 i14168121635238417613637895972000 i10085.837.029.59.65.64.2

Brandenburg2000 i134897921326128677136254552000 i10058.724.221.35.34.63.4

Bremen2000 i2922248710799211851821202000 i10085.136.931.56.36.24.1

Hamburg2000 i82085286195416958174823382000 i10064.423.820.710.05.94.1

Hessen2000 i269022066492457509161513699262000 i10076.834.427.96.05.13.4

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern2000 i83495569233721094204112922000 i10066.728.025.35.04.93.5

Niedersachsen2000 i3162722238880086821803172112322000 i10070.327.827.55.75.43.9

Nordrhein-Westfalen2000 i852295642722812208304697441436742000 i10066.226.824.45.55.24.3

Rheinland-Pfalz2000 i1526711459459845769528105232000 i10075.130.130.06.25.33.4

Saarland2000 i44603363153112622351961392000 i10075.434.328.35.34.43.1

Sachsen2000 i19778135705291561211738536412000 i10068.626.828.45.94.33.2

Sachsen-Anhalt2000 i122658101337032035645673972000 i10066.027.526.14.64.63.2

Schleswig-Holstein2000 i94916911255927207135064132000 i10072.827.028.77.55.34.4

Thringen2000 i125528568361431697226434202000 i10068.328.825.25.85.13.3

Studienbeginn

sofortnach 1 Jahrnach 2 Jahrennach 3 Jahrenspter

Baden-Wrttemberg29.2%34.2%8.3%4.1%2.7%78.4%

Bayern36.2%32.5%6.3%4.2%2.9%82.2%

Berlin37.0%29.5%9.6%5.6%4.2%85.8%

Brandenburg24.2%21.3%5.3%4.6%3.4%58.7%

Bremen36.9%31.5%6.3%6.2%4.1%85.1%

Hamburg23.8%20.7%10.0%5.9%4.1%64.4%

Hessen34.4%27.9%6.0%5.1%3.4%76.8%

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern28.0%25.3%5.0%4.9%3.5%66.7%

Niedersachsen27.8%27.5%5.7%5.4%3.9%70.3%

Nordrhein-Westfalen26.8%24.4%5.5%5.2%4.3%66.2%

Rheinland-Pfalz30.1%30.0%6.2%5.3%3.4%75.1%

Saarland34.3%28.3%5.3%4.4%3.1%75.4%

Sachsen26.8%28.4%5.9%4.3%3.2%68.6%

Sachsen-Anhalt27.5%26.1%4.6%4.6%3.2%66.0%

Schleswig-Holstein27.0%28.7%7.5%5.3%4.4%72.8%

Thringen28.8%25.2%5.8%5.1%3.3%68.3%

Normiert:

sofortnach 1 Jahrnach 2 Jahrennach 3 Jahrenspter

Baden-Wrttemberg37.2%43.6%10.5%5.2%3.4%

Bayern44.1%39.5%7.7%5.2%3.6%

Berlin43.1%34.3%11.2%6.5%4.9%

Brandenburg41.2%36.2%9.0%7.9%5.7%

Bremen43.4%37.0%7.4%7.3%4.8%

Hamburg37.0%32.1%15.5%9.1%6.4%

Hessen44.7%36.3%7.8%6.6%4.5%

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern42.0%37.9%7.5%7.4%5.2%

Niedersachsen39.6%39.0%8.1%7.7%5.5%

Nordrhein-Westfalen40.4%36.9%8.3%7.8%6.5%

Rheinland-Pfalz40.1%39.9%8.3%7.1%4.6%

Saarland45.5%37.5%7.0%5.8%4.1%

Sachsen39.0%41.4%8.6%6.3%4.7%

Sachsen-Anhalt41.6%39.5%7.0%7.0%4.9%

Schleswig-Holstein37.0%39.4%10.3%7.3%6.0%

Thringen42.2%37.0%8.4%7.5%4.9%

Tabelle1

Basiswert 2000-200434579.236377.815875.25620.83880.49157.420561.25127.82173660007.613013.82494.416203.87607.26229.67614

BWBYBEBBHBHHHEMVNINWRPSLSNSTSHTH

200538175.7744665139928.220197040914693.92703535595620.77188355024236.98282528768573.975824458923525.88266263245318.708137862821618.593709809165067.373024575414612.0271955912540.842898205615229.56113134737748.61946734796208.47661047787090.7229299474

200639889.307740524641565.710749448914868.9542350885671.42329777174375.04912710238888.795225359824326.31727176595333.036584429422332.978115699167774.437424350215389.23737179942709.595079236915326.68505570647716.07472681156428.0162243957100.1017705108

200741428.991200087242763.718064993315358.75610611485781.10590514854529.34550920249313.031253908925051.22132278775440.696822323323719.910618713370049.49468443815937.99016690132740.93637861615658.296205413710624.9218313586843.10996823337135.4439617604

200842638.22750718143629.548239190615213.4989371065663.88158121844604.76772779079593.899532153825378.47925990537523.832277412823874.687158371970944.473878149116280.31852003042793.445369046814759.49954489537396.23683721657160.39633295236661.6172973792

200943474.780444962444385.120370917814702.3980140475290.14852260524675.91673112049512.928363945225401.80240992694767.512788812823931.578341932271185.925476618717054.31129976663831.341878476212772.29294117896438.08462365126989.20044728065824.117344758

201044225.243609411944744.115990436513591.21615306884828.67003763184736.927726419611594.439969944425468.84017492113931.818965537724754.280194827871797.82848509216853.35721088732895.089468343110434.99701014835379.30518669747235.02632021124811.0534964212

201145527.766683238865444.972216226512962.57198753854359.41308639165874.402230410357.311609049925974.54124996963720.83127283