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Wir schaffen Wissen – heute für morgen 27.08.2014 Paul Scherrer Institute PMF runs with SoFi based on ME-2 [email protected] F. Canonaco, K. Dällenbach, I. El Haddad, M. Crippa , C. Bozzetti, J. Slowik, A. Prevot, U. Baltensperger, …

Wir schaffen Wissen –heute für morgen - CIRES · SoFi–The future version F. Canonaco, PSI Switzerland page 14 Next release Fast bilinear ME-2 lane in ME-2 (Paatero) Restructuration

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Wir schaffen Wissen – heute für morgen

27.08.2014

Paul Scherrer Institute

PMF runs with SoFi based on ME-2

[email protected]

F. Canonaco, K. Dällenbach, I. El Haddad, M. Crippa , C.

Bozzetti, J. Slowik, A. Prevot, U. Baltensperger, …

Motivation – Organic Source apportionment

page 2F. Canonaco, PSI Switzerland

ACSM measures mainly

ammonium nitrate,

ammonium sulfate,

ammonium chloride and

Organic mixture � Source apportionment technique

Source apportionment technique - PMF

page 3F. Canonaco, PSI Switzerland

X

{n x m}=

G

{n x p}

F

{p x m}

species j: 1…m

columns„factor time series“

factors

+E

{n x m}

k: 1…p

sam

ple

s in

tim

e i

: 1

…n

elelmeasured EXX modmodˆ +=

rows „factor

profiles“

Bilinear model – Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF)

� The rows of the matrix F represent the factor profiles

� The columns of the matrix G represent the factor time series

.

Paatero and Tapper 1994

Method - PMF

page 4F. Canonaco, PSI Switzerland

Least-squares algorithm

Advantages

� Values in G & F are non-negative

� Factors represent sources (POA) / aging (SOA)

Disadvantages

� Assess number of factors

� Constant factor profiles (mass spectra)

� Uncertainties are not well-known, minimal Q-value is not necessarily the best solution

� Investigate the solution space even for slightly higher Q-values (few %)

� PMF solutions suffer from rotational ambiguity

� Investigate the solution space

∑∑= =

=

m

i

n

1jij

ije

Q1

2

σeij: difference (measured – model)

σij: uncertainty (measurement)

������ = � · = � · � · �� · = �′ · ′

Paatero 1999, Paatero and Hopke 2008

Source apportionment technique – PMF/ME2 solver

page 5F. Canonaco, PSI Switzerland

PMF2 solver ME2 solver

global rotational tool (fpeak) global rotational tool (fpeak)

- Individual rotational tool (fpeak)

pull towards zero (G and/or F) Constraining values (G and/or F) a-value/pulling

jp,jp,solutionj,p, faff ⋅±=

a-value approach for F

Paatero 1999, Paatero and Hopke 2008

SoFi – The interface in Igor

page 6F. Canonaco, PSI Switzerland

Canonaco et al., 2013

SoFi – The actual version 4.8

page 7F. Canonaco, PSI Switzerland

Regular features

� Various results plots / residual plots

� Comparison with external tracers

� Validate a PMF solution

Special features

� …

Canonaco et al., 2013

SoFi – correalation plots

page 8F. Canonaco, PSI Switzerland

� Monitor the correlation of a factor time series with external data, e.g. HOA with BC over

different model runs

SoFi – overview plots

page 9F. Canonaco, PSI Switzerland

� Compare different model runs together

SoFi – HR variable plot

page 10F. Canonaco, PSI Switzerland

� HR data, families grouped into UMR

SoFi – reweight panel

page 11F. Canonaco, PSI Switzerland

� Reweight based on averaged S/N ratio

� Reweight based on t-dependent S/N ratio (available with new release)

SoFi – combined PMF (C-value)

page 12F. Canonaco, PSI Switzerland

� C-value approach for combined PMF data, e.g. AMS and gas-phase

SoFi – combined PMF (C-value)

page 13F. Canonaco, PSI Switzerland

� C-value approach

SoFi – The future version

page 14F. Canonaco, PSI Switzerland

Next release

� Fast bilinear ME-2 lane in ME-2 (Paatero)

� Restructuration of SoFi (interface and storage)

� Controlled investigation of the solution space (POA and SOA profiles)

� Propagation of the statistical uncertainty to the PMF results

� Version 4.9 will cover all this…

Canonaco et al., 2013

ME2 interface - Strategy

page 15F. Canonaco, PSI Switzerland

� Constant factor profile for OOA / BBOA is problematic for long-term data

� Run PMF over groups of data, seasons, months, weeks

Source apportionment strategy for long-term data

� Grouped data based on daily temperature in ascending order

� Run PMF over a small window, e.g. one month (Automatic - Au)

� HOA, COA, BBOA were always expected, constrain with the a-value

� model 1-2 OOA factors based on mainly f44/f43 ratio

� optimize solution based on correlation over time and diurnal cycle for:

HOA with NOX / BCtr, BBOA with BCbb, SV-OOA with nitrate /

temperature, LV-OOA with sulfate, cooking lunch peak presence

� Shift PMF frame by a day and rerun PMF (Rolling - Ro)

AuRo – SoFi

� Same sources supposed

� Rolling window allows to dynamically adapt to changing SOA

� Small shift compared to PMF frame allows for a partial propagation of the uncertainty

ME2 interface – AuRo-SoFi result

page 16F. Canonaco, PSI Switzerland

ME2 interface – AuRo-SoFi result

page 17F. Canonaco, PSI Switzerland

ME2 interface – AuRo-SoFi result

page 18F. Canonaco, PSI Switzerland

� Talk at the IAC on the 2nd of September