View
6
Download
0
Category
Preview:
Citation preview
Die Zukunft des Sozialstaates
Professor Dr. Heiner Flassbeck
www.flassbeck-economics.de Engelberg, 17.10.2013
-30.0
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
1960
1962
1964
1966
1968
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012 In
vest
ition
en in
vH
geg
enüb
er V
orja
hr
Bes
chäf
tigun
g in
vH
geg
enüb
er V
orja
hr
Jahre
Beschäftigung und Investitionen in Deutschland1)
1) Werte von 1960 bis 1991 Westdeutschland, von 1992 bis 2012 Deutschland. 2) Wachstumsrate der geleisteten Arbeitsstunden der abhängig Beschäftigten in vH gegenüber Vorjahr, linke Skala. 3) Wachstumsrate der realen Ausrüstungsinvestitionen in vH gegenüber Vorjahr, rechte Skala. Quellen: Statistisches Bundesamt; OECD; AMECO Datenbank (Stand: Mai 2012), Werte für 2012: Prognose der EU-Kommission.
Investitionen3)
Beschäftigung2)
Employment and real GDP in developed economies 1971–2011
(Per cent)
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011
Real GDP growth (left scale) Employment growth (right scale)
Employment and gross fixed capital formation in developed economies, 1971–2011
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
1519
71
1976
1981
1986
1991
1996
2001
2006
2011
GFC
F gr
owth
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
Empl
oym
ent G
row
th
Gross fixed capital formation (left scale) Employment (right scale)
15
Annual growth rates of unit labour costs and inflations
16
Wage share and unemployment rate in developed countries, 1970–2010
Growth of employment and gross domestic product in developing economies, 1971–2011
(Per cent)
-1
1
2
3
4
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011
GDP growth (left scale) Employment growth (right scale)
Growth of employment and gross fixed capital formation in developing economies, 1971–2011
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
1519
71
1976
1981
1986
1991
1996
2001
2006
2011
GFCF
gro
wth
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Empl
oym
ent G
row
th
Gross fixed capital formation (left scale) Employment (richt scale)
19
Wage growth as the key determinant of demand growth Growth of employment and real GDP in selected countries, 1981–2011
20
Capital and labour are complementary, not substitutes Growth of employment and gross fixed capital formation in selected countries, 1981–2011
Recommended