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ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO
Effects of Foreign Ownership on Innovation Activities: Empirical Evidence for 12 European
Countries
Martin Falk
FIW Workshop Foreign Direct Investment, BMWA, March 7th 2008
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFOMotivation
• importance of foreign affiliates in industrial R&D varies across OECD countries
•Foreign-owned firms have a lower R&D intensity than domestically owned firms (see OECD 2003)
•multinational firms undertake most of their R&D activity at home
•relationship between innovation output and foreign ownership is not clear-cut
•Descriptive statistics: Foreign owned firms are more likely to introduce technological innovations and have higher share of innovative sales
• However, some part of the differences in innovation output between foreign affiliates and domestic firms may be due to a compositional effect
=>simple comparisons are misleading
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO Motivation78
7266
5649
4542 40
35
27 27 27 26 25 2520
17 16 147 5 4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Hunga
ry
Irelan
d
Austri
a
Belgium
Czech
Rep
ublic
Sweden
Austra
lia
United
King
dom
Canad
a
Nethe
rland
s
Spain
Germ
any
Italy
Franc
e
Portu
gal
Slovak
Rep
ublic
Poland
Finlan
d
United
Sta
tes
Turke
y
Greec
e
Japa
n
R&D expenditures of foreign affiliates in % of total business R&D
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO MotivationPercentage of innovating firms (Western European firms)
0.330.29
0.16
0.28
0.23
0.430.41
0.25
0.360.32
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
new products new productsdeveloped in-
house
new marketproducts
newproductionprocesses
newproductionprocesses
dev in-house
domestic firmsforeign owned
Notes: # of obs: 18 000, weighted using sample weights; Source: CIS 3 data.
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO MotivationPercentage of innovating firms (Eastern European firms)
0.210.19
0.11
0.160.13
0.340.32
0.20
0.240.22
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
new products new productsdeveloped in-
house
new marketproducts
newproductionprocesses
newproductionprocesses
dev in-house
domestic firmsforeign owned
Notes: # of obs: 10 000, weighted using sample weights; Source: CIS 3 data.
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO MotivationShare of new products/market novelties in % (means)
(Western European firms)0.261
0.104
0.222
0.095
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
share of turnover of new products share of turnover of new market products
domestic firms
foreign owned
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO Motivationshare of new products/market novelties in % (means)
(Eastern European firms)
0.116
0.052
0.142
0.066
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
0.14
0.16
share of turnover of new products share of turnover of new market products
domestic firms
foreign owned
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO MotivationDifferences in the characteristics between foreign and
domestic firms (Eastern Europe)
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.600.700.800.90
exporting
Firms m
ost significa
nt marke
t: local
Firms m
ost significa
nt marke
t: national
Firms m
ost significa
nt marke
t: interna...
firm siz
e (0 th to25 th)
firm siz
e (25 th to 50 th)
firm siz
e (50 th to 75 th)
firm siz
e (75 th to 100 th)
mining & energy
Consumer manufactu
ring
intermediate manufacturing
investment m
anufacturing
distributive
trade
transport & fin
ancial intermediation
business servic
es
foreign owned firmsdomestic firms
% of firms
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFOMotivation und Outline
•Methods:– Probit estimates of the propensity to innovate– Share equations for turnover with market novelties
and new products estimated by fractional logit estimator
•Outline:– Previous literature– Theoretical background– Empirical model– Data and descriptive statistics– Results– Conclusions
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFOPrevious studies
•Previous studies of cross-country comparisons of determinants of innovative sales/introduction of new products– Griffith, Huergo, Mairesse and Peters (2006)
for France, Germany, Spain and UK based on CIS 3 data (OXREP)
– Mohnen, Mairesse and Dagenais (2007), for seven EU countries based on CIS 1 (distinction between low and tech ind.) (EINT)
– Lööf, Heshmati, Asplund and Naas (2002) for Finland, Norway and Sweden bason CIS 2
– Lhuillery, Freitas, Miotti and De Negri (2007), for France, Switzerland and Spain and three Latin american countries
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO Theoretical background• Previous literature: CDM model with log of innovative
sales or logit transformed innovative sales and mills ratio/ selection equation
• Innovation output is mainly determined by innovation input but elasticity is below 1:– Crépon, Duguet and Mairesse (1998): elasticities of the
logarithm of turnover with new products with respect to R&D capital per employee between 0.12 and 0.46
– Griffith, Huergo, Mairesse and Peters (2006): impact of the predicted R&D intensity on the logit transformed share of market novelties is higher for Spain and France than that of UK and Germany
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO Previous studies• Effects of different types of innovation input activities
– Types: internal R&D, external R&D, acquisition of new knowledge, acquisition of machinery, design, market introduction
– Effects of different types of innovation activities are expected to differ across industries and between young and old firms
– Impact of internal activities is higher in high-tech industries than in low/medium industries
– Importance of non-R&D innovation activities is expected to be higher in services
– internal R&D activities are more important for “radical” (i.e. new to the market) innovations than for incremental innovations (i.e. new to the firm)
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO Previous studies• Effects of different innovation sources
– importance of external sources of information for innovation (Von Hippel 1998)
– Firms benefit from customers and end users, lead user
– knowledge potential of universities conferences, meetings and journals is more important in science-based and technology-oriented firms
– knowledge spillovers from rivals are more valuable to less research–intensive firms (see Jovanovic and MacDonald, 1994)
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO Previous studies• Firm size
– U-shaped relationship -> small firms and very large firms have a higher R&D and/or innovation intensity (Acs and Audretsch, 1988; Pavitt et al., 1987)
• Foreign ownership– foreign-owned firms are more likely to introduce new
products and new production processes (Sadowski and Sadowski-Rasters, 2006; Frenz and Ietto-Gillies 2007 for the UK)
– Foreign ownership effect should be more pronounced in NMS than in the EU15 countries
• Turnover increase due to M&A• Firms most significant market: If firms market is
international one can expect higher competition
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO Empirical model I• Probit equation for the propensity to innovate
• five different types of technological innovations: – introduction of new products– introduction of new products developed in-house– introduction of new market products – introduction of new production processes,– introduction of new production processes developed in-house
ßxy '*
00
01*
*
yif
yify
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO Empirical model I• Second step: fairlie technique that decomposes the
foreign ownership difference into the characteristics effect and coefficient effect:
),(,,, dfddfpdpfd XßPXßPXßPXßPYY
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO Empirical model II
• Determinants of the share of new market products/market novelties
.6
sec,sec,
11
,,
3
,,
8
,,
7
,,
2
,,
3
,,21
ppp
mmcomco
ggsizegsize
kksourcesksources
llstratlstrat
hhmarkhmark
nnhistnhistfor
dßdßdß
dßdß
dßdßdINQY
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO Empirical model
INQ innovation intensity
ford
nhistd
, dummy variables for newly founded firms,
M & A disclosure during the period
gsized
, dummy variables for firm size
lstratd
, dummy variables measuring the innovation strategy
hmarkd
, geographical market
ksourcesd
, dummy variables on the intensity of usage of different innovation sources
mcod
, pd
sec,
country and sector dummy variables
dummy variable for firms that are part of multinationalfirm with headquarter outside the home country
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFOEmpirical model
• share of innovative sales is bounded between zero and 1 by definition
• Tobit model is not useful in our case because 0 and 1 values arises not because that the variable is unobservable; also logit transformation not useful
• Papke and Woolridge (1996) proposed the called “fractional logit model”
• Estimation method: quasi-maximum likelihood estimator, with heteroscedasticity robust asymptotic variance
ßXßX
ßXFXYEi
iiii exp1
exp
](1ln[)1(](ln[)( '' ßxyßxyßl iiiii
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFOEmpirical model
• Interpretation based on marginal effects• Separate estimates for EU-West (i.e. BE, DE, ES, GR,
NO, PT) and EU-East (i.e. CZ, EE, HU, LT, LV, SK)
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFOData
• CIS 3 micro aggregated data, EUROSTAT• Corrected version May 2007 (error in foreign
ownership)– Share of foreign ownership correct data: 11% (old version 21%)
• Coverage– Belgium, Czech Republic, Estonia, Germany, Hungary, Norway,
Spain, Greece, Lithuania, Latvia, Portugal and Slovakia
• Austria ist not included because Stat Austria refused to allow access to the data
# of obs probit: 28,000 Number of obs. for the fractional logit model
– EU East: 5000; EU West: 6400
• Estimation sample for the fractional logit is restricted to firms with information on type of innovation activities
• Pure “process innovators” are excluded
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO Descriptive Statistics
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
share of turnovernew products
firms with zeroturnover of new
products
share of turnovermarket
novelties
firms with zeroturnover of market
novelties
Innovation intensity
West East
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
Newly
found
ed fir
m
turno
ver g
rowth
due t
o merg
ers ...
sales
redu
ction
due t
o disc
losure
foreig
n owne
rship
Firms m
ost s
ig. m
arket:
regio
nal
Firms m
ost s
ig. m
arket
natio
nal
Firm
s m
sig
. mar
ket i
nter
n
firm si
ze (0
th to
25th)
firm si
ze (2
5th to
50th)
firm si
ze (5
0th to
75th)
firm si
ze (7
5th to
100th
)
EastWest
Descriptive statistics
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO Descriptive statistics
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
intramural R
&D
extramural R
&D
acquisition of m
achinery and equipment
acquisition of o
ther exte
rnal knowledge
Training
market intro
duction of in
novatio
n
design and other p
reparation
WestEast
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO
• sample including Western European firms– Foreign ownership is marginally significant for new
products developed in-house and new market products (effect 1.4 and 1.9 percentage points)
• sample including Eastern European firms– Foreign ownership is strongly significant for all types of
technological innovations (effects: 3.4 and 4.5 percentage points)
• Sector, size, country dummy variables and dummy for exporters are all significant
• Fairlie decomposition of the foreign ownership effect on the propensity to innovate:– Western European firms: 90 % of the difference in
innovativeness can be explained by different characteristics
– Eastern European firms : Between half and two thirds of the difference in innovativeness between foreign and domestically-owned firms.
Empirical results: probit estimates
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO Probit estimates for Western European countries (marg. effects)
dF/dx z dF/dx zforeign-owned firm (yes/no) 0.014 1.68 0.019 1.68newly founded firm (yes/no) 0.040 2.47 0.035 1.78exporting (yes/no) 0.046 6.80 0.085 10.09turnover increase due to M&A (yes/no) 0.068 4.99 0.100 5.83turnover reduction due to closure (yes/no) -0.057 -2.78 -0.061 -2.30Firms most significant market (ref local):national market (yes/no) 0.066 9.14 0.121 13.61international market (yes/no) 0.099 9.95 0.162 13.54firm size dummy variables:firm size class turnover (25th to 50 th ) 0.040 4.44 0.054 4.95firm size class turnover (51st to 75 th) 0.092 9.68 0.127 11.25firm size class turnover (76 th to 100 th) 0.178 17.19 0.274 22.62industry dummy variables (ref consumer man.)Mining & energy -0.081 -5.25 -0.124 -6.28Intermediate manufacturing 0.025 2.87 0.022 2.00Investment manufacturing 0.076 8.37 0.092 8.27Distributive trade -0.055 -4.62 -0.137 -9.36Transport & financial intermediation -0.035 -3.30 -0.064 -4.95Business services 0.216 15.92 0.232 14.85country dummy variables yes yes
new products dev. in-house
market novelties
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO Probit estimates for Eastern European countries (marg. effects)
firm size class foreign-owned firm (yes/no)
exporting
(yes/no)turnover (25th to 50th)
firm size turnover (51st to 7 th)
firm sizeturnover (76 th to 100 th)
new products dF/dx 0.045 0.072 0.082 0.169 0.316z 3.14 5.7 5.51 11.03 19.49
new products dev. in-house dF/dx 0.047 0.068 0.073 0.163 0.303z 3.37 5.58 5.02 10.85 18.9
new market productsdF/dx 0.045 0.052 0.044 0.086 0.191z 4.19 5.47 3.73 6.91 13.96
new production processesdF/dx 0.034 0.045 0.075 0.167 0.316z 2.72 4.05 5.34 11.43 20.16
new production processes dev in-housedF/dx 0.039 0.043 0.07 0.148 0.286z 3.34 4.06 5.24 10.57 18.77
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFOFairlie decomposition of the foreign ownership effect on the propensity
to innovate
dom-estic foreign-firms owned
new market products 0.140 0.256 -0.116 -0.053 -0.063 -0.063 0.005 0.003 -0.008
(54) (100) (-7) (-5) (12)
percentage of Results of the decomposition analysis
differ-ence
un-explained
ex-plained
firm size effect
sector effects
country effects
other effects
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO
• sample including Western European firms– Foreign ownership is not significant
• sample including Eastern European firms– Foreign ownership is strongly significant for both types
(i.e new products and market novelties)• Use of different innovation sources, innovation
input/strategies are more important in achieving a high share of new products/market novelties
• Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition of the foreign ownership effect:– Eastern European firms : Difference in innovativeness is
nit due tu differences in the characterisitcs
Empirical results: share equations
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFOResults of the share equation: new products
dF/dxa z dF/dxa zforeign ownership 0.008 0.87 0.024 2.73innovation intensity 0.217 8.00 0.133 4.43newly founded firm 0.047 2.38 0.048 2.66turnover growth due to mergers & acquisitions
0.020 1.45 0.027 2.23
sales reduction due to closure -0.010 -0.36 -0.016 -1.15Firms most significant market: national market (ref. local)
-0.004 -0.47 0.007 0.90
Firms most significant market: international market
0.027 2.50 0.030 3.58
firm size class turnover (25 th to 50 th) -0.004 -0.37 -0.002 -0.25
firm size class turnover (50 th to 75 th) -0.038 -3.62 -0.018 -2.20
firm size class turnover (75 th to 100 th) -0.073 -6.62 -0.028 -3.27innovation sources yes yesInnovation strategy yes yesCountry dummies yes yesSector dummies yes yes
Western European
Eastern European
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFOResults of the share equation: market
noveltiesdF/dxa z dF/dxa z
foreign ownership 0.009 1.55 0.011 2.02innovation intensity 0.105 7.35 0.070 4.27newly founded firm 0.057 3.39 0.006 0.55turnover growth due to mergers & acquisitions 0.014 1.49 0.025 2.76sales reduction due to closure -0.014 -0.90 0.000 -0.04Firms most significant market: national market (ref. local) 0.000 0.06 0.002 0.34Firms most significant market: international market 0.014 1.93 0.011 2.15firm size class turnover (25 th to 50 th) -0.001 -0.19 0.003 0.45firm size class turnover (50 th to 75 th) -0.012 -1.75 -0.007 -1.44firm size class turnover (75 th to 100 th) -0.034 -4.66 -0.012 -2.23innovation sources yes yesInnovation strategy yes yesCountry dummies yes yesSector dummies yes yes
Western European
Eastern European
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFOResults of the share equation: Blinder-
Oaxaca decomposition
dom-estic foreign-firms owned
new market products 0.140 0.256 -0.116 -0.053 -0.063 -0.063 0.005 0.003 -0.008
(54) (100) (-7) (-5) (12)
percentage of Results of the decomposition analysis
differ-ence
un-explained
ex-plained
firm size effect
sector effects
country effects
other effects
ÖSTERREICHISCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNGAUSTRIAN INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
WIFO• relationship between foreign ownership and innovation activities using CIS
3 micro-aggregated data for 12 European countries. • Probit estimates
– New Member States: the probability to innovate is significantly higher for foreign-owned firms than for domestic firms
– Western European: foreign ownership is only marginally significant. – differences in the percentage of innovating firms between foreign owned and
domestic firms are mainly due to different characteristics
• Results for the share equation:– New Member States: foreign-owned firms are significantly more innovative than
domestic firms. – overall difference in the share of innovative sales between foreign-owned and
domestic firms is mainly due to differences in the coefficients =>pure effect
• Other significant determinants of innovation output: innovation strategy, innovation sources
• explanation: in the New Member States foreign-owned firms are younger than in West. EU countries => learning curve effect is inverted u-shaped?
Conclusions